Pentagon says overreliance on AI contributed to missile strike on Iran school
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Pentagon says overreliance on AI contributed to missile strike on Iran school
Unofficial Hacker News client; not affiliated with Y Combinator.
legitster · · focus · HN ↗
Reading the details, "AI" doesn't really seem like the culprit -it's a scapegoat.
The intelligence that it was no longer a military target never entered the target database, the team that was responsible for vetting the target list was gutted, and said team was never even consulted.
The White House wanted 1000 targets and pulled from their database without any due diligence. Whether it was an AI call or an SQL query - this was from pure human maliciousness and incompetence.
bix6 · · focus · HN ↗
legitster · · focus · HN ↗
...
> Hegseth and the commander in charge of the Iran operation, Adm. Brad Cooper, were questioned about the strike before Congress. Hegseth said the U.S. does not target civilians and would investigate
So the administration does not intentionally target civilians, they have just stopped caring about who a civilian is.
andrepd · · focus · HN ↗
ceejayoz · · focus · HN ↗
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military-age_male" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military-age_male
nashashmi · · focus · HN ↗
YZF · · focus · HN ↗
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ceejayoz · · focus · HN ↗
<a href="https://skeptics.stackexchange.com/questions/56556/does-the-idf-consider-any-fighting-age-male-to-be-a-combatant" rel="nofollow">https://skeptics.stackexchange.com/questions/56556/does-the-...
> fight in civilian clothing
(Fake) physician, heal thyself.
<a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/israeli-undercover-forces-disguised-as-women-and-doctors-kill-three-militants-at-west-bank-hospital" rel="nofollow">https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/israeli-undercover-forces...
> Article 4 applies to soldiers (that e.g. fight in uniform)
Israel openly forbids the importation of uniforms.
<a href="https://www.jpost.com/arab-israeli-conflict/israel-seizes-largest-ever-shipment-of-military-clothes-headed-to-gaza-536779" rel="nofollow">https://www.jpost.com/arab-israeli-conflict/israel-seizes-la...
YZF · · focus · HN ↗
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ceejayoz · · focus · HN ↗
Not even in parades?
> The west bank incident is also completely irrelevant.
How convenient.
> the IDF soldiers wear uniform and fight according to international laws
They are widely and credibly accused of not fighting according to international laws.
> You can't seriously suggest that Israel should equip Hamas with "thousands of items of military clothing, including boots, coats and combat vests, all in camouflage colors."
What military doesn't have boots, coats, and combat vests in its uniform?
You can't claim you get to treat them as illegal combatants because they don't have uniforms when you are embargoing the uniforms, lol.
> That said the Hamas tactics of being "civilian" do endanger their civilians in situations that could be ambiguous.
IDF HQ is right by a shopping mall. Fair to target?
YZF · · focus · HN ↗
I served in the IDF (a long time ago). I talked with soldiers who fought with Gaza. I'm not making stuff up based on what I saw on social media. The IDF does not just go around shooting every military aged male in Gaza. Are there scenarios where a military aged male in civilian clothing can get shot at in certain places - absolutely. Those are not the same thing and that's an important distinction. If your tactic is for people to drop in and out of being a civilian, like go to a weapon cache in civilian clothes, grab an RPG, fire it at the enemy, then drop it and become a civilian again, then those tactics have consequences. Especially in areas where civilians were ordered to evacuate.
So the original statement is false. Is there nuance when it comes to civilians operating around the front lines in areas under evacuation in a war. Totally. Those are very different things.
IDF HQ is not "right by a shopping mall". The Kiryah in Tel Aviv is clearly delineated from the civilian area. The UK and France as random examples also have their military HQs in civilian areas. But yes, the Kiryah is in Tel Aviv and not far from civilian areas. It is a very large army base that's distinct from the surrounding civilian areas. I've been there.
Targeting the Kiryah is absolutely legal. If the Hamas had similar delineation between the military and the civilian then there'd be something to talk about.
> They are widely and credibly accused of not fighting according to international laws.
Widely yes. Credibly no. Most accusations have nothing to do with actual laws and actual facts on the ground. That's not to say there haven't been incidents that are questionable but as a rule (and what the rules and the law says) soldiers are supposed to conduct themselves, and broadly do, by those laws. When you have 100's of thousands of soldiers fighting this sort of war in a dense civilian area you're going to see incidents and all western militaries do (like the original topic, the US hitting the Iranian school).
You really got me there with the parades. Yes, they do wear uniforms in parades. So they got them. No Israel is not required to equip its enemy with military gear. They can saw uniforms or wear blue shirts or whatever. But they do have uniforms.
nashashmi · · focus · HN ↗
The NAZA movie begs to tell a different story. Hasbara mission begs every Israeli to stay silent. Even in a conversation on Israeli TV, complaining about Ben Gvir saying the quiet part out loud, the same lady says “Sure I feel bad about children dying but they are going to grow up to be terrorists”.
Shining the light on Hamas wont make Israel look better. Mud slinging hamas wont make IDF better. You having served in the IDF makes you a war criminal.
ceejayoz · · focus · HN ↗
That would be great.
> The IDF does not just go around shooting every military aged male in Gaza.
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killing_of_Alon_Shamriz,_Yotam_Haim,_and_Samer_Talalka" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killing_of_Alon_Shamriz,_Yotam...
"The men had emerged from a building and were approaching a group of IDF soldiers when they were shot dead, in spite of the fact that they were shirtless and visibly unarmed while waving a makeshift white flag and calling out for help in Hebrew."
> IDF HQ is not "right by a shopping mall". The Kiryah in Tel Aviv is clearly delineated from the civilian area.
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matcal_Tower" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matcal_Tower
Let's be serious, here; Google Maps has it ~300 feet from the mall and hotel across the street.
> Widely yes. Credibly no.
Some of these war crimes are on video.
<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/04/world/middleeast/gaza-israel-aid-workers-deaths-video.html" rel="nofollow">https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/04/world/middleeast/gaza-isr...
YZF · · focus · HN ↗
Then why do you keep at it?
We are debating the original claim and you keep bringing up random things.
The original statement that the IDF views every military age male in Gaza as a combatant from a targeting perspective is still false. It's easily falsifiable and you don't care. I provided an actual credible reference (The ICRC), a pointer to video evidence where you can cleasrly see the IDF not targeting military aged males, and my personal experience. My job is easier because you need to prove this is the law/rules/regulations/commands/practice and I just need to provide counter-examples to show that those are not actually the law/rules/regulations/commands. As to the official Israeli law and commands they are very clear about this. You can argue that's not what soldiers are doing on the ground but this claim needs a lot more support than you're providing.
>> So the administration does not intentionally target civilians, they have just stopped caring about who a civilian is. > Well Israel has defined "combatant" as "male between 14 and 55", and the Western world more or less shrugged and moved on without missing a beat. I'm not optimistic.
It's false and you keep insisting it's true. So if you want to build your theory of the world on false things keep doing it.
None of your claims/evidence support your conclusion. The way for you to challenge your conclusion and the original statement is by looking for evidence that it's false. And there is plenty of evidence beyond my personal experience and that of people I know - which you're welcome to discount.
The incident of the killing of the Israeli hostages is indeed very troubling. And it does not prove your point. It does agree with my more nuanced take. Your point is easily disproven by the thousands of interactions between the IDF and civilians in Gaza where military aged men are not shot at. That's what matters. Not whether there have been any war crimes or incidents where civilians have been killed. It should be obvious that if the IDF wanted to kill all military aged males in Gaza that number would be higher than the 9,000 cited in your other response given there are probably around 700k military aged males in Gaza.
It should also be obvious that Hamas tactics of fighting as civilians increases the likelihood of civilians being mistaken for combatants. That's why there's the requirement to wear uniforms in the first place. If you can't acknowledge that this is wrong that's another piece of evidence that you have decided what's wrong and what's right regardless of the actual facts. And no, Hamas isn't fighting in civilian clothing because Israel doesn't let them import uniforms. That's ridiculous.
It's not true that if Hamas had a designated HQ that was clearly delineated from civilian areas, even if it was 300 feet away, "it would be deemed to be using civilians as human shields". Hamas' practices include getting children and civilians to converge on assets that were under evacuation warnings. These practices are not comparable in any shape or form. What is true is that many/most western nations end up having some military installations in proximity of civilians. That is very different than setting up camp inside a civilian building or underneath. There are many examples of these practices by Hamas.
There's plenty of true/real things to be critical of Israel about. I would even join in some of these. But a lot of the criticism levelled at Israel, like this one, are based on falsehoods. The conclusion is chosen first and then reality is formed to fit it. Even bringing up Israel in the context of this thread on Iran is odd. If anything this thread shows that bad things happens in wars. We should be critical of the US here for good reasons. But this example (or countless others from US wars) does not prove that the US targets civilians or doesn't care about civilians. It proves that despite having rules and processes (that are way beyond what non-western armies have) civilians still get killed in wars.
ceejayoz · · focus · HN ↗
<a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/whoosh/" rel="nofollow">https://www.reddit.com/r/whoosh/, I guess.
> As to the official Israeli law and commands they are very clear about this.
Oh, come on. The sitting PM is getting out of his corruption trial by keeping the conflict going. The only person punished for gang-raping a Palestinian detainee was the prosecutor who leaked it because they were getting away with it. You're gonna really pull the "well it's illegal!" thing?
YZF · · focus · HN ↗
You are still stuck and I can't help you. If your logic somehow explains things existing at the same time 1) Israel considers every military age male a target and attacks them 2) That such a relatively small percentage of military age males were killed in Gaza despite overwhelming military superiority of Israel 3) That there is endless footage showing the IDF soldiers in interactions where they don't just shoot every military age male. 4) the rules/commands/laws of Israel are what I say they are.
Your comment is again not relevant to our question. It is also, as seems to be a pattern, twisting the truth:
<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy0kpd97qqko" rel="nofollow">https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy0kpd97qqko
"Broadcast in August 2024 on an Israeli news channel, the footage shows reserve soldiers at the Sde Teiman military base in southern Israel taking aside a detainee, then surrounding him with riot shields to block visibility while he was allegedly beaten and stabbed in the rectum with a sharp object."
Gang raping -> you made this up. The video does not show that. There is no evidence.
This was being investigated. So that part of the system was working. There was a political pressure against the investigation but the investigative body is independent.
"Five reservists were charged with aggravated abuse and causing serious bodily harm to the detainee. They have denied the charges and have not been named."
This is the system doing what you claim it's not doing. It doesn't support your argument.
It's true that the end result of the prosecutor leaking the video, thus betraying trust, led to her dismissal, and compromised the case.
Personally I wouldn't rule out that Hamas captured during Oct 7th while murdering Israelis would face extreme violence in detention. It's possible. The evidence does not prove this conclusively.
I also agree Netanyahu has reasons to prolong the conflict and avoid justice. This is also not relevant to the validity of the original broad statement we're debating. It does not follow logically that because Netanyahu wants to remain PM that he is somehow instructing soldiers to shoot every military aged male in Gaza. He also doesn't actually have the power to do that. Part of every soldier's training in Israel is that they should not follow illegal orders. (another actual fact) And the PM doesn't have absolute authority over the chief of staff of the IDF. That position has a certain amount of independence in law. And sometimes they disagree - even publicly.
Is there anything that can be said or any piece of evidence that would convince you that the broad claim is false? If not then it's really up to you to ask yourself why.
This has nothing to do with the broader claim still being false and obviously so.
The world has complexity and has nuance. You insist in seeing it in black and white. And ofcourse in your world Israel is always in the black despite any evidence to the contrary.
ceejayoz · · focus · HN ↗
You have a very odd approach to evidence visible here. The detainee has confirmed rectal injuries and there's video of the incident that caused it.
To recap:
"This video has a Palestinian videographer who admits" is credible.
"This video shows the actual incident in question, which was bad enough someone senior in the Israeli government whistleblew at great personal risk to get it out there" is not.
> Is there anything that can be said or any piece of evidence that would convince you that the broad claim is false?
"Is there one piece of evidence that would outweigh all the other pieces of evidence pointing the other direction" is quite the question.
No, there'd need to be pretty significant and widespread evidence to contradict clear lying about incidents like shooting ambulances (and covering up the site), raping detainees, shooting unarmed Israeli hostages trying to be rescued (oops!), and confimed video of the sitting Israeli national security minister personally abusing detainees.
noncoml · · focus · HN ↗
What a fucking moron
cogman10 · · focus · HN ↗
Basically they stopped caring those woke UN rules about war crimes.
toyg · · focus · HN ↗
giva · · focus · HN ↗
enaaem · · focus · HN ↗
folkrav · · focus · HN ↗
MisterTea · · focus · HN ↗
FTFY. IMO I don't think they directly stopped caring about bombing civilians but have stopped caring about doing their jobs. And this staggering tragedy is the outcome.
I think with the atmosphere this current administration has created, questioning things is likely frowned upon. Better to just follow orders and if shit hits the fan, put on a circus act and move on to the next tragic disaster in the making. Someone else can always take the blame.
michaelmrose · · focus · HN ↗
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xlayn · · focus · HN ↗
But don't worry, the other P AI system will ensure that the first one doesn't do mistakes...
toomuchtodo · · focus · HN ↗
UnitedHealth uses AI model with 90% error rate to deny care, lawsuit alleges - <a href="https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38299921">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38299921 - November 2023 (58 comments)
<a href="https://litigationtracker.law.georgetown.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/Estate-of-Gene-B.-Lokken-et-al_20231114_COMPLAINT.pdf" rel="nofollow">https://litigationtracker.law.georgetown.edu/wp-content/uplo...
teravor · · focus · HN ↗
the situation would have to be very particular/contrived for that not to be the case.
toomuchtodo · · focus · HN ↗
1718627440 · · focus · HN ↗
flossly · · focus · HN ↗
ImPostingOnHN · · focus · HN ↗
degamad · · focus · HN ↗
The situation is very particular. When the system makes an error, I make a bigger profit. If the system made fewer errors, it would approve more things that cost me money.
Why do you think I'm motivated to make fewer errors under that situation?
dylan604 · · focus · HN ↗
eks391 · · focus · HN ↗
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_I_and_type_II_errors" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_I_and_type_II_errors
benlivengood · · focus · HN ↗
Dylan16807 · · focus · HN ↗
Sure if you're flipping a coin.
If you're calculating a number from 1 to 100 then depending on distribution a calculation that's wrong 90% of the time is probably useless.
mschuster91 · · focus · HN ↗
member the three words "delay, deny, depose"? Insurances - and not just in the US, Germany has similarly bad stuff going on - aren't making a profit if they just blindly accept claims. It is much more profitable to deny with a vague "AI" system (or a blanket automated deny) first, and only have a first look with an actual human agent at it when the customer complains or files a lawsuit.
j4yav · · focus · HN ↗
[deleted] · · focus · HN ↗
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1718627440 · · focus · HN ↗
j4yav · · focus · HN ↗
1718627440 · · focus · HN ↗
For that reason error rates above 50% don't make any sense. Building a system, that is reliably wrong, is as hard as building one that is reliable correct, because the systems are the same, just with the output inverted.
The worst you can get with a system is 50%, at which point you can just flip a coin, because that is just pure random. Any deviation from that is going to be an improvement.
[deleted] · · focus · HN ↗
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j4yav · · focus · HN ↗
1718627440 · · focus · HN ↗
j4yav · · focus · HN ↗
8note · · focus · HN ↗
stuaxo · · focus · HN ↗
jimbooonooo · · focus · HN ↗
iAMkenough · · focus · HN ↗
I'm not sure why the "people make mistakes too" crowd can't seem to grasp this concept.
bradleyjg · · focus · HN ↗
iAMkenough · · focus · HN ↗
Doesn't invalidate my point. I didn't say it was easy to hold a person accountable, just easier than a techonology system, whose owners point the finger back at government.
I think we both want to see justice for those 100+ innocent children murdered (as well as those innocent lives in Afghanistan and Iraq) by the U.S. Military's incompentence.
There were never "weapons of mass destruction," although Congress was mislead to believe there was.
In the Minab attack, Congress wasn't even given the option to authorize.
bradleyjg · · focus · HN ↗
That’s a weird goalpost.
iAMkenough · · focus · HN ↗
So much for seeking justice for those who can't advocate for themselves. America kills the innocent is accepted fact, I guess. The ultimate pro-life society.
pessimizer · · focus · HN ↗
Thinking everyone who doubts is a cynic is your problem, and you're continuing to execute on it. When the next liar rolls in and says they fixed everything, you'll be the first to run in bashing people saying "no, I don't think he did."
Do you not read? Do you not know anything about what America has done?
Your lecturing is not virtuous.
iAMkenough · · focus · HN ↗
iAMkenough · · focus · HN ↗
Without accountability and justice for those families that experienced unnecessary loss, they're coming for us to seek their own justice. Rightfully so.
Can you not take a second to put yourself in their shoes as a parent? If the tables were turned and Iran's government "accidentally" bombed an elementary school in the U.S., I feel like you would have a different opinion on justification for revenge.
In this instance on the very first day of strikes on Iran, the U.S. Military instigated future conflict by murdering hundreds of innocent children. Your children will pay the price in one way or another.
Actions have consequences. Trump and his installed sycophants in Congress and the SCOTUS reject that reality, but their constituents aren't as gullible as they banked on.
When they get their golden parachute, Presidential pardons, and taxpayer funded-protection, you are left holding the bag for bankrolling this atrocity.
iAMkenough · · focus · HN ↗
An end to anti-American radicalism brought on by the repeated pattern of carelessly murdering children of pro-democracy parents in these regions and cutting international aid to other regions?
If it was my 12-year-old murdered by a "targeting error," I would dedicate my life to revenge.
Cyph0n · · focus · HN ↗
It is also a war that extends in part from the Gaza genocide, which as we know was overseen and backed by a Democratic administration.
In other words, this is a war enabled and sanctioned by our government collectively, and not a particular administration or party.
iAMkenough · · focus · HN ↗
No. You're full of shit. It's Trump's Executive Branch demanding quotas from the Pentagon that led to bad information being used to murder 100+ children.
Maybe if Republican and Democrat elected representatives had an oppportunity to authorize the Iran war, I would listen to you.
Respectfully, your argument is bullshit.
Produce voting records authorizing the war, or shut up.
nixon_why69 · · focus · HN ↗
Schumer could be raising hell and disrupting everything in the senate in order to force a vote, it would be incredibly popular and define the midterms, but he's choosing not to.
iAMkenough · · focus · HN ↗
nixon_why69 · · focus · HN ↗
iAMkenough · · focus · HN ↗
Cyph0n · · focus · HN ↗
iAMkenough · · focus · HN ↗
AngryData · · focus · HN ↗
1718627440 · · focus · HN ↗
impossiblefork · · focus · HN ↗
But that's a US-specific thing. With humans you at least have this theoretical liability-- that there is someone who could be punished.
pjmorris · · focus · HN ↗
[deleted] · · focus · HN ↗
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csomar · · focus · HN ↗
and so is the Trump administration?
educasean · · focus · HN ↗
DirkH · · focus · HN ↗
It's the difference between a sword and a nuclear missile even though both are "technology"
TheOtherHobbes · · focus · HN ↗
The pattern matches various other acts of senseless violence against innocents in South America.
The message isn't "We did this accidentally. We should understand how it happened, so we can make sure it doesn't happen again.".
It's "We do this to make the point that we can, no one can stop us, and if we're challenged we're going to lie about it."
geraneum · · focus · HN ↗
lifeformed · · focus · HN ↗
geraneum · · focus · HN ↗
edoceo · · focus · HN ↗
ajsnigrutin · · focus · HN ↗
They blamed excel for the bad choice. Excel.
I mean sure, you can always blame the tool, i can blame my cars rear parking sensors when i hit someone when backing up during parking, but come on... at some point, a human is responsible. Someone, some person, decided and greenlit the decision to bomb those places and should now be in jail for that.
I mean, what's next? A building collapses, because the load bearing sections are too weak... do we blame CAD tools now?
geraneum · · focus · HN ↗
joquarky · · focus · HN ↗
geraneum · · focus · HN ↗
ajsnigrutin · · focus · HN ↗
geraneum · · focus · HN ↗
archonis · · focus · HN ↗
geraneum · · focus · HN ↗
So AI’s output is not so different than a roll of dice? Definitely the people who decided to put in such an incapable and unreliable tool should be held accountable. No dispute in that.
GoblinSlayer · · focus · HN ↗
1718627440 · · focus · HN ↗
sillyfluke · · focus · HN ↗
>The decision was indeed made by AI and humans failed in their duty to fucking verify it.
The decision to leave the decision to AI was made by humans. It's on the moronic humans for not understanding the limitations and flaws of the software they are using and believing the marketing material without constantly verifying their results.
How good or bad the software is an almost equally important but separate issue.
geraneum · · focus · HN ↗
The decision, to make the decision to leave the decision…
So much mental gymnastics.
roenxi · · focus · HN ↗
FWIW, forcing people to go along with transparent lies is a popular social manoeuvre. It signals both the power of a group and the power of the person leading the lie.
Although it is a very frustrating tendency, because honesty and realism tends to be better for the people who have the numbers. It is hard to organise real efforts around lies.
throw0101c · · focus · HN ↗
Before anyone does this please let me know beforehand so I can invest in paperclip factories…
jmathai · · focus · HN ↗
shevy-java · · focus · HN ↗
The US government just tries to shift blame for atrocities. This also, by the way, coincides with the US government trying to abolish a world court investigating war crimes. Hopefully we'll have an objective world court one day, so ALL war criminals get prosecuted, at all times.
seizethecheese · · focus · HN ↗
> Some US intelligence analysts took notice, the officials said. Bloomberg reported in June that one analyst detected changes to the site as early as 2019, and logged remarks about the modifications in a system that wasn’t connected to the primary military intelligence database, which informs targeting
pbhjpbhj · · focus · HN ↗
At the time a news outlet put out commercially purchased images of the target site before and after -- even a layman could see that it had a children's playground next to the building, and that it was separated from the compound.
<a href="https://www.channel4.com/news/factcheck/factcheck-iran-school-satellite-imagery-shows-evidence-of-targeted-strike-says-expert" rel="nofollow">https://www.channel4.com/news/factcheck/factcheck-iran-schoo... has the info from around the time, but doesn't show the detailed images in the news report (video) I seem to remember seeing.
I think it was maybe some earlier coverage from NYT, they published this retrospectively - <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/video/world/middleeast/100000010750321/how-we-analyzed-the-strike-on-the-iranian-school.html" rel="nofollow">https://www.nytimes.com/video/world/middleeast/1000000107503... (which is also on YouTube, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hDcim48W4Io" rel="nofollow">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hDcim48W4Io). It shows that even a cursory analysis - without the benefit of enhanced military grade satellite/flyover imagery - indicates the building targeted with pin-point accuracy is a school (eg <a href="https://youtu.be/hDcim48W4Io?t=98" rel="nofollow">https://youtu.be/hDcim48W4Io?t=98).
In short, this seems entirely avoidable. I don't think you need any connected system, you just need an image of the target and eyes.
If they trained a model to find targets and didn't train it to avoid civilian targets, and couldn't be bothered to have anyone check them, that's still a war crime. The analyst could probably see the kids playing there with the imaging tech they have available.
This war was unlawfully started by the military at Trump's command, knowing it was not a lawful order; just as they knew firing on shipwrecked civilian sailors was murder. Seemingly it was started to win money betting on fuel prices.
spwa4 · · focus · HN ↗
Now if you ACTUALLY used AI, as opposed to what happened here (Trump stooge getting request for 1000 targets and doing SELECT * FROM targets LIMIT 1000, except getting AI to write the query) could could drive the odds of this happening much closer to zero.
seizethecheese · · focus · HN ↗
calgoo · · focus · HN ↗
[1]<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5yqqyly9n0o" rel="nofollow">https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5yqqyly9n0o
beloch · · focus · HN ↗
-------------------
Maven is an untested tool for rapidly selecting targets under time pressure during a war. It's reason for existing is speed. If you're in a shooting war, the ability to select good military targets faster than your enemy, but not necessarily with zero error, is an advantage.
Planning a first strike is a different situation. Time pressure should not be a significant factor. Humans should have been doing their due diligence on every single target. If an untested tool for rapid mid-battle target selection was relied upon completely because of a hasty executive order, then the responsibility falls entirely on the executive.
cgio · · focus · HN ↗
ygouzerh · · focus · HN ↗
pbhjpbhj · · focus · HN ↗
Unfortunately the military all turned their backs on their oath to uphold the constitution (Again! Deploying against USA cities and kidnapping foreign heads-of-state at the whim of Trump is also not lawful). At that point it is hard to see how your democracy can be resurrected.
iugtmkbdfil834 · · focus · HN ↗
Oddly, here I am more optimistic. The antipathy towards Tman rivals Musk and few other public personas and that, previously somewhat small crowd, appears to be growing. Historically speaking, I would say it is unlikely based on what happened ( or did not happen ) with Bush, but may actually unite enough people to punish its executive power center. I will admit that going into this year, this was not even close to my anything close to my bingo card. Then again, neither was Greenland, import war with Canada, Iran war and now open talk about banning diesel exports.
kadoban · · focus · HN ↗
That would make me optimistic as well if dictatorships governed with the consent of the populace. They do not.
iugtmkbdfil834 · · focus · HN ↗
On the other hand, we have Saudi Arabia, which, clearly, is not exactly a democracy. It may not be a dictatorship per se since it is a monarchy, but that monarchy rule is absolute ( so it is really a step away from NK ). And you may think they don't need population's consent, but you would be surprised how much consent you need when the population is used to 'harsh but oil is flowing so we get something out of it' trade off.
In other words, I am not saying you are wrong, but you may want to re-consider your priors.
rurp · · focus · HN ↗
Just like clowns in charge were caught off guard by the fact that Iran has a drone program, resulting in the loss of dozens of air frames and much of our strategic munition stockpiles. Iran literally jump started Russia's drone program in a high profile way, and yet trump/hegseth somehow completely failed to plan for how to counter those drones and had to resort to lobbing scarce multi-million interceptor missiles at them and watching our bases take heavy damage.
These are just some of the failures we know about. The administration has been extremely tight lipped about these failures and there are surely many more that aren't common knowledge. Who knows how many hundreds of other children have been needlessly killed outside of the school strike.
mainecoder · · focus · HN ↗
stackghost · · focus · HN ↗
I mean, yes and no. Merely selecting the targets is not really an advantage in and of itself. I'm sure Iran could select hundreds of targets in the 48 States at the drop of a hat, but they don't have the air power to hit those targets so the air tasking cycle breaks down.
The air tasking cycle upon which modern NATO air campaigns are predicated and carried out is a cyclical 6-step process:
1. objectives not yet met/effects required
2. target development/selection to deliver those effects/meet those objectives
3. weaponeering, allocation, prioritization (can a hellfire launched from a drone do this or do we need something more specialized?)
4. actually write and issue the air tasking orders that cause air sorties to be flown
5. execution of said ATOs
6. assessment; GOTO 1
Normally this is a 72-hour cycle and your ops centre would be running 3+ of these cycles in overlapping fashion so that every 12-24 hours you have one loop reaching the top. AI appears to be in heavy use in the target development step, but there are diminishing returns for speed here. At some point there's just no added benefit for choosing more targets because aircraft can only transit to/from the area so fast. Also the other loops are still running and you're potentially developing targets without knowledge of effects being delivered by the other ATO loops so you're now wasting effort. In other words it's not like a computer where more hertz is better; you might get better results by simply waiting for one of the other cycle's kinetic results that will better inform your own target development stage.
jauntywundrkind · · focus · HN ↗
Except laundering our biases & discriminations, the unaccountability seems to be the purpose of a huge huge swarth of AI usage. To eliminate accountability. That sure seems like A Feature Not A Bug to the worlds worst people.
oooyay · · focus · HN ↗
However you sourced your target is irrelevant to the activity at hand. When I first heard of this news I knew immediately someone skipped target verification or that it was simply no longer a policy of the DOD.
[deleted] · · focus · HN ↗
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somenameforme · · focus · HN ↗
[1] - <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-58604655" rel="nofollow">https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-58604655
gbriel · · focus · HN ↗
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viccis · · focus · HN ↗
Tanjreeve · · focus · HN ↗
stult · · focus · HN ↗
4gotunameagain · · focus · HN ↗
This is a good lesson for young people reading this. If you work for the US military, you are not working for Defence.
Your work will be used against innocent civilians in far away lands.
kakacik · · focus · HN ↗
It may be an afterthought for US citizens living in US, but its a deadly weapon pointing to 95% of the mankind and people wielding it are often shit to be polite. We the rest do care.
4gotunameagain · · focus · HN ↗
dmos62 · · focus · HN ↗
4gotunameagain · · focus · HN ↗
Also it is quite questionable how much of a democracy the US is nowadays.
Gerrymandering aside, the populace does not get to choose the presidential candidates. And the whole two party thing ? Or the fact that to have a chance you need a super PAC with hundreds of millions ?
This seems like elitocracy..
someonebaggy · · focus · HN ↗
lemmetellya · · focus · HN ↗
dmos62 · · focus · HN ↗
lemmetellya · · focus · HN ↗
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someonebaggy · · focus · HN ↗
lemmetellya · · focus · HN ↗
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somenameforme · · focus · HN ↗
And in this regard I think Snowden had a bigger influence on society than anybody or anything in my living memory. Prior to him there was a belief by many that government conspiracies couldn't happen because somehow if there were enough people involved, it'd show up on News at 9 or whatever. He made it clear that such conspiracies, far beyond the bounds of what even the absurd conspiracy theorist might propose, can and do exist. The NSA has friggin spies in World of Warcraft!
That sort of skepticism played a key role in fueling an anti-establishment mindset. And that mindset is what fueled the rise of everything from Trump to the DSA. I'm certainly not claiming those are good outcomes, but merely part of an increasingly visible shift away from the old establishment. And I think this shift will be, in the longrun, good for America. And I think in hindsight, it will be clear that a lot of this change started happening with Snowden.
lemmetellya · · focus · HN ↗
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dmos62 · · focus · HN ↗
4gotunameagain · · focus · HN ↗
Apart from the fact the if you stay true to your morals you will be incapable of rising to a position of power in such corrupt institutions, the degree of institutionalisation necessary to do so will definitely erode your ethics, turning you into another cog.
dmos62 · · focus · HN ↗
MaxfordAndSons · · focus · HN ↗
somenameforme · · focus · HN ↗
As for Russia, I think your perception there is also driven by 'messaging'. There's a million videos of people streaming walking tours and the like in Russia. Here [1] is one done 4 days ago. That's a country that in the 90s was on the verge of collapse and was extremely dangerous. You can find similar stuff on e.g. Twitch because there's this somewhat odd subculture of delivery drivers, taxi drivers, and others streaming their days. Perhaps in part out of bemusement from this Western perspective paired against reality.
[1] - <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89ckPUyGVA8" rel="nofollow">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89ckPUyGVA8
imtringued · · focus · HN ↗
Both republicans and democrats wanted the war in Afghanistan back when 9/11 happened and they needed to get revenge on the scapegoat. Meanwhile the end of the war was initiated by Trump, then slowly concluded by Joe Biden.
So both the start and the end of the war had bipartisan support. Nothing against democracy but war doesn't follow the election cycle. It might start in one though.
Lumich · · focus · HN ↗
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boilerupnc · · focus · HN ↗
[0] <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Real_Genius" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Real_Genius
njarboe · · focus · HN ↗
randomfrogs · · focus · HN ↗
For now. I think this administration will absolutely have no compunction about using this against innocent civilians in THIS land as soon as they feel the need to to retain power.
tosapple · · focus · HN ↗
hiring foreign data scientists and web developers.
joinHNtheysaid · · focus · HN ↗
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ImHereToVote · · focus · HN ↗
jabron · · focus · HN ↗
ta20240528 · · focus · HN ↗
GoblinSlayer · · focus · HN ↗
lokar · · focus · HN ↗
It is well understood that human diligence falls dramatically in the face of automation that is perceived to be highly reliable.
There is a tendency for software people to say “it has a 5% error rate, so make sure to carefully check every time”. Even though we know that humans simply won’t check carefully the results of a 95% accurate system.
1718627440 · · focus · HN ↗
This should really be framed differently during training. "Assume you have 100 neighbors in your area/house. We expect you to kill 5 innocent neighbors each time you use the system, and don't actually think for yourself. (After using it once every day for two weeks, you will have killed half of your neighbors.)"
Suddenly 5% doesn't sound that small/95% not as good to the laymen.
lokar · · focus · HN ↗
naijaboiler · · focus · HN ↗
Even rare events become very likely when you repeat it. A 5% wrong chance means half are dead after 10 tries
1718627440 · · focus · HN ↗
True, but in my opinion 5 innocent dead out of hundred is not remotely small. For any serious automated decision anything larger than per million is completely unacceptable. (For reference, among Germans the amount of Jews killed by Nationalsocialists, is "only" 2.3‰ [160k vs. 69M] I don't think anyone considers that to be small.)
tosapple · · focus · HN ↗
1718627440 · · focus · HN ↗
selicos · · focus · HN ↗
We have CEOs designing AI systems to replace them (or at least their workload). The DoD has done nothing to provide accountability for this war crime. It's a scapegoat to move on from, not a problem or justice.
0xWTF · · focus · HN ↗
glad to see you're alive and functioning
cicko · · focus · HN ↗
thephyber · · focus · HN ↗
skew-aberration · · focus · HN ↗
alistairSH · · focus · HN ↗
shevy-java · · focus · HN ↗
> "AI" doesn't really seem like the culprit -it's a scapegoat.
So the analysis was that AI has been a scapegoat. That's correct.
The implication is that it was indeed HUMANS who made the decision, and now the US government tries to shift away the blames from their decision onto "AI made a mistake, not we did". It is just not logical to assume this was a mistake in the age of mass surveillance and sniffing on everyone at all times.
skew-aberration · · focus · HN ↗
GP says AI is not the culprit, but that actually agrees with the article + headline - which also blame the humans. Nobody in the article is scapegoating AI at all.
If you are both referring to some other claims by US gov made elsewhere (none are in the article), it might be useful to cite them.
throw7 · · focus · HN ↗
999900000999 · · focus · HN ↗
It all makes sense. So what we had to blow up some savages to steal their oil. Whatever, you don’t expect Jeb to push his truck do you.
The Russians , who have a different relationship to race than we do , have treated Ukrainians like Brown people.
How barbaric. To treat “European Christians” in such a manner.
Russia bad.
Anyway with the price of gas never coming down I guess Jeb will need to buy a bike.
morpheos137 · · focus · HN ↗
[deleted] · · focus · HN ↗
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7bit · · focus · HN ↗
whateveracct · · focus · HN ↗
i know plenty of iranians. they are not white passing in america.
morpheos137 · · focus · HN ↗
IncreasePosts · · focus · HN ↗
Oh right, 19th century racial myths
tombert · · focus · HN ↗
I knew they were stupid, I knew they had positions that I would consider racist, I knew that they were corrupt, but I guess I had assumed that they had worked for their corruption.
But no, you have RFK Jr.'s HHS lazily having ChatGPT generating anti-vax literature with broken links, you have Trump doing a blanket pardon of literally everyone involved with January 6 [1] apparently because he was too lazy to do any diligence. It's borderline farcical.
[1] <a href="https://www.axios.com/2025/01/22/trump-pardons-jan6-clemency" rel="nofollow">https://www.axios.com/2025/01/22/trump-pardons-jan6-clemency
a_bonobo · · focus · HN ↗
tombert · · focus · HN ↗
As a kid I had always heard that Hitler was some kind of evil genius. It wasn't until my 20s that I started actually reading about this stuff and NOPE, he was actually a fucking idiot.
7bit · · focus · HN ↗
tintor · · focus · HN ↗
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killing_of_Alex_Pretti" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killing_of_Alex_Pretti
impossiblefork · · focus · HN ↗
svara · · focus · HN ↗
puelocesar · · focus · HN ↗
This is just one more example of it. I'm waiting for even more disastrous ones.
jackb4040 · · focus · HN ↗
no-name-here · · focus · HN ↗
Anthropic’s leader objected so strenuously that their entire company was blacklisted from doing any business with the government, and blacklisted from any contractors working for the government from using Anthropic there either.
OpenAI’s agreement also included some restrictions, and they put out a press release about the restrictions.
So at least those AI leaders aren’t silent about AI’s military use.
jackb4040 · · focus · HN ↗
goodcanadian · · focus · HN ↗
MASNeo · · focus · HN ↗
Lack of oversight, over reliance and insufficient critical review lead to poor outcomes in any decision making process. Problem is, with AI more people ill-prepared for decision-making make decisions.
I am convinced that this is precisely how AI will cause more and more harm and much earlier than we can imagine.
platz · · focus · HN ↗
source?
camillomiller · · focus · HN ↗
slowin · · focus · HN ↗
camillomiller · · focus · HN ↗
I also like what Bourdain said about Henry Kissinger and South East Asia, edit: specifically Cambodia. I was baffled when the absolute heinous bastard finally fucking died to see how many people were paying their respect to basically Satan incarnated.
Here’s Bourdain: Once you've been to Cambodia, you'll never stop wanting to beat Henry Kissinger to death with your bare hands. You will never again be able to open a newspaper and read about that treacherous, prevaricating, murderous scumbag sitting down for a nice chat with Charlie Rose or attending some black-tie affair for a new glossy magazine without choking. Witness what Henry did in Cambodia - the fruits of his genius for statesman- ship - and you will never understand why he's not sitting in the dock at The Hague next to Miloševic. While Henry continues to nibble nori rolls and remaki at A-list parties, Cambodia, the neutral nation he secretly and illegally bombed, invaded, undermined, and then threw to the dogs, is still trying to raise itself up on its one remaining leg
slowin · · focus · HN ↗
KellyCriterion · · focus · HN ↗
...or it was just a XLS/Excel sheet sent around by someone by mail
ratelimitsteve · · focus · HN ↗
someonebaggy · · focus · HN ↗
mahboi · · focus · HN ↗
jackb4040 · · focus · HN ↗
VirusNewbie · · focus · HN ↗
However, I'm absolutely against mistakes that kill children, and I hope that people are held responsible. This is not OK.
kunley · · focus · HN ↗
If the problem are human behaviours around ai, that is: eagerness to see the results (both military and Palantir), greediness to make money (Palantir), then the ai becomes the root of the problem.
account42 · · focus · HN ↗
tosapple · · focus · HN ↗