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The evolution of effective altruism

66 points · 171 comments · bazzmt

  1. wodow · · focus · HN ↗
    I was surprised by the weakness of this article, regardless the potential absurdities of parts of EA.

    Why does The Economist consider this the most important issue this week, in a world of complex problems, to splash its first leader on (and more than one page long too)?

    1. Daishiman · · focus · HN ↗

      [dead]

    2. __MatrixMan__ · · focus · HN ↗
      Effective altruism, like economics, is mostly a bunch post hoc justifications for bad behavior.

      > Actually, if you think real hard about it, we're the good guys

      --the bad guys

      The economist likes it because it resembles what their target audience tells themselves so they can sleep at night.

      1. strken · · focus · HN ↗
        Why would a movement which started as nerds buying mosquito nets to stop malaria be "a bunch [of] post hoc justifications for bad behaviour"? You say this like it's an established fact or at least a common argument, yet I've never heard it before.
        1. [deleted] · · focus · HN ↗

          [deleted]

        2. __MatrixMan__ · · focus · HN ↗
          I don't know. Lots of movements lose their way. I just know that every time it comes up, the story is that some nerd with a lot of big ideas ended up getting carried away and causing a bunch of harm. The article brings up Sam Bankman-Fried, for instance. But you could also look at the obvious scam that WorldCoin was. Or look at all of the preventable respiratory illnesses which are being caused by the datacenter buildout, and the corresponding mantra re: we have to go fast so AI is smart enough to cure diseases.

          If you wanna do good in the world, you can't just aim a bunch of money at a goal and expect the good to happen, you gotta get your hands dirty and course correct when your original plan turns out to be more harmful than helpful. I'm sure there are a lot of good intentions in there, but from the outside it's looking like the supposed rationality has been compromised by greed at the expense of the supposed altruism. As expressions of altruism go, EA just doesn't seem very effective.

        3. Loquebantur · · focus · HN ↗
          The article reads like a smear campaign and the actual target appears to be the opposition to unrestricted AI development.

          The claims made there are beyond absurd and based on a remarkable absence of anything resembling reason.

          That's echoed by a surprising amount of people here.

        4. lux-lux-lux · · focus · HN ↗
          A big part of EA is earning to give, i.e. making the big bucks at Torture Nexus, Inc. so you can buy more mosquito nets than you could as an EMT or whatever. It’s not hard to see how this can excuse some pretty terrible behavior, especially if you never actually get around to the buying mosquito nets part.
          1. nullc · · focus · HN ↗
            > especially if you never actually get around to the buying mosquito nets part

            Or instead get brain-wormed into giving all your torment nexus dollars to "ai safety" cult that tells you that you're helping to prevent the endless torture of all sentient minds that could ever exist in the entire universe.

            Hubbard proved that you can create an effective cult out of bad science fiction-- perhaps it should be surprising that it took so long for someone to improve on the design...

            1. __MatrixMan__ · · focus · HN ↗
              Also, all the bad things you did at Torment Nexus Inc... They get a head start on whatever good things you do with the money. Even if the cult is effective, it's playing catch-up.
          2. ben_w · · focus · HN ↗
            Not to disagree about the dangers of dangling large amounts of money in front of people that happen to be earmarked for good causes, because that is exactly what went wrong in the case of Sam Bankman-Fried, but:

              In the past, the community made the mistake of becoming too closely associated with “earning to give”. Many people involved in effective altruism still think this is a good strategy for some people, particularly those who have a good personal fit for high-paying careers. But donating to charity is not the only way to have a large impact. Many people can do even better by using their careers to help others more directly. Many people in the community do both.
            
            - <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.effectivealtruism.org&#x2F;faqs" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.effectivealtruism.org&#x2F;faqs
        5. abathologist · · focus · HN ↗
          Read moar <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Effective_altruism#Other_criticism_and_controversies" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Effective_altruism#Other_criti...
        6. tmnvix · · focus · HN ↗
          I can&#x27;t answer your question as to why, but the only person that has ever tried to convince me to consider effective altruism was in charge of marketing for the New Zealand Taxpayer&#x27;s Union (<a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;New_Zealand_Taxpayers%27_Union" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;New_Zealand_Taxpayers%27_Union). Even at the time (without knowing much about EA) it seemed immediately clear that this person was essentially &#x27;ethics washing&#x27;.
      2. lanfeust6 · · focus · HN ↗
        The guys who were obsessed with maximizing efficacy of charitable giving, and then later AI risk, are &quot;justifying bad behavior&quot;. Right.
        1. cgio · · focus · HN ↗
          I am not familiar with their beliefs (open to learning). But what circulates is troubling. E.g. statistically optimising for future even if it means harming current can be bad dressed in an excuse. Assigning value e.g. to lives (from prawns to humans) can also be a statistical way to do harm with an excuse. Overall, if it quacks like a duck and walks like a duck…
          1. Loquebantur · · focus · HN ↗
            This reads more like an orchestrated proxy smear campaign to attack the actual thing they&#x27;re after: the opposition to unrestricted AI.
            1. cgio · · focus · HN ↗
              The smear campaign will work if that’s all that’s out there. Are they public with their beliefs&#x2F;principles or does someone need to go through levels of billions valuation to know the truth.
              1. Loquebantur · · focus · HN ↗
                The article here pretty much debunks itself given the over-the-top absurdity and irrationality of its &quot;arguments&quot;. But of course only when read critically in the first place.
                1. cgio · · focus · HN ↗
                  When two opposing forces meet, you don’t get truth from either side, you get it by critically looking at what’s left between the lines. And it doesn’t look good for EA if I go by the discussion here. Lots of pushing problematic to crazies and anecdotal altruism that is not in any way related to EA principles specifically. I don’t judge. Everyone is entitled to do what they think is best. But we can also be concerned on our side on the impact EAs actions can have on us who are not in agreement with the vagueness of it. And we can say that it is looking as much about altruism as Scientology is about science.
          2. lanfeust6 · · focus · HN ↗
            &gt; I am not familiar with their beliefs (open to learning)

            That much is clear. No one &quot;owns&quot; or &quot;leads&quot; EA, it&#x27;s not a monolith; people have their own beliefs and co-opt it, including crazies. The only common tenet is in the name.

            Notwithstanding that &quot;shrimp welfare&quot; and the like is in the margins, it does not preclude the overwhelmingly anthropocentric charitable giving by most members.

            I mean, the most popular writer associated with that world, Scott Alexander, donated his kidney just to help others. Knowing the good people are trying to do, it&#x27;s unseemly to me for EA not only to be discarded but viciously attacked because of &quot;vibes&quot; and weirdos who associate themselves with it.

            You used the term &quot;an excuse&quot; twice; for what, a hidden motive to do harm? I think some types like Bentham&#x27;s Bulldog are wrong or misguided in some respects, that doesn&#x27;t mean you can leap to some notion that they want to harm humanity in the most stupid way possible: donating a meagre sum to shrimp welfare.

            1. cgio · · focus · HN ↗
              I wouldn’t be against the co opt interpretation and I do believe people will be co opting something both with good and bad or crazy intentions. The thing is, if a fraction that co opts is so overwhelmingly outranks everyone else, then the original intent may end up the fringe. From my perspective the issue starts with the name. Why effective? The moment you introduce an optimisation problem you open the back door to biases. I would suggest blind altruism. Engineers can accept readily that random processes can optimise. Let the randomness optimise blindly and just be altruistic. You don’t have to publish an altruism balance sheet.
        2. lux-lux-lux · · focus · HN ↗
          Look up ‘earning to give’ and think about the implications of that when a few thousand worth of mosquito nets buys a human life.
        3. abathologist · · focus · HN ↗
          Well... look at the behavior, it is bad. They use the things you say here to justify it, soo... yes.
      3. fsckboy · · focus · HN ↗
        &gt;economics, is mostly a bunch post hoc justifications for bad behavior

        and your definitions of bad behavior are therefore not post hoc, so let me hear your definitions.

        1. __MatrixMan__ · · focus · HN ↗
          A definition is a lot to ask for. If you truly need somebody to define &quot;bad&quot; for you, you&#x27;re asking in the wrong place.

          But we don&#x27;t need to define it to know it when we see it. Here are some examples of bad behavior which is encouraged by the way we currently practice economics:

          - Operating generators in violation of local regulation such that the neighborhood around your new data center now has a smattering of new respiratory illnesses is bad behavior. The economic system we&#x27;ve built encouraged that outcome by focusing only on the consent of whatever banker granted the loan and not on the consent of the nearby community (relevant because the loan created the money which then bought the illegal generators). We further encourage abuses of this kind by letting irrational markets determine that it&#x27;s admirable, because if the stock price went up then surly it must be so, and by doing so we subsequently increase the operator&#x27;s ability to take out more loans of this kind. People are dying of lung cancer and economic indicators are saying &quot;all systems go.&quot;

          - Sending weapons to terrorists with the understanding that once they destabilize the regional government, they&#x27;ll give you a favorable deal re: making off with whatever local resources you&#x27;re after is bad behavior. That&#x27;s basically US foreign policy in South America in the 80&#x27;s, and we provided teams of economists to help draft the new dictators&#x27; constitutions to ensure that we could continue to exploit those countries long after.

          - Charging $80k for enough Sovaldi to treat a Hepatitis C infection is bad behavior. It&#x27;s not difficult to synthesize (people have done it in their garages for &lt;$500), and the risk of spreading further infection because you can&#x27;t afford to treat yourself is high. Society bears a tremendous cost because Gilead has decided that the economics of the situation justify the price they&#x27;re setting.

          Economists tell people that these bad things are unfortunate consequences of a system that for the most part is a good thing. But when they&#x27;re pressed to support that claim they always do so against a meaningless background, something having to do with barter, as if it&#x27;s not obvious that if we didn&#x27;t have a system with this broken design, we wouldn&#x27;t go back to the stone ages, we&#x27;d instead have a different system with a potentially less broken design.

          Despite resting on such a feeble value proposition re: the current status quo, economists don&#x27;t seem at all motivated to explore alternatives either. They appear to be rather happily at work for powerful men who are hurting people, where they manufacture for those men justifications about why the pain is in fact an unavoidable consequence of the laws of physics, and no something that they should feel guilty about.

          I realize that, like effective altruists, there are probably a lot of good intentions among economists. It&#x27;s just hard to look at history and come to any conclusion besides that they&#x27;re not very good at resisting to attempts to corrupt those intentions.

    3. [deleted] · · focus · HN ↗

      [deleted]

    4. stefangordon · · focus · HN ↗
      Because Anthropic is the final manifestation of EA and is about to raise two trillion dollars.
      1. Loquebantur · · focus · HN ↗
        This is beyond absurd.

        Effective altruism originates from the intention to rationally approach the obvious question, how to do the most good in the world. That&#x27;s obviously not a bad thing?

        The article here goes on a grotesque witch hunt, claiming baselessly things like &quot;polyamory&quot; was widespread among &quot;the movements&quot; adherents.

        You here postulate, Anthropic was a &quot;final&quot; manifestation of that movement. How? Why? Do they practice polyamory there?

        1. nradov · · focus · HN ↗
          Trying to apply rationality in domains where it&#x27;s ineffective is obviously a bad thing. In the real world, only a limited subset of issues can be reduced to logic and calculations. To believe otherwise is pure hubris, and if you&#x27;ve read the classical tragedies you know the results.
          1. Loquebantur · · focus · HN ↗
            What now? The main thing about rational (logical) arguments is to make explicit the domain of their applicability and ensure that fits the given situation.

            The social myth of important social questions not being amenable to rational consideration is a political tool, not scientific truth. The classical literature doesn&#x27;t help there.

            1. AndrewKemendo · · focus · HN ↗
              I suggest you read the 2 cultures, that will help you navigate this issue.

              Most people do not believe that everything is measurable unfortunately

              <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;The_Two_Cultures" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;The_Two_Cultures

              1. Loquebantur · · focus · HN ↗
                Yes, I&#x27;m aware, I&#x27;m simply surprised to read that sentiment here.

                Not everything is measurable though. There are (pretty unexpected) constraints on practicality, but also logical restrictions people tend to forget about.

                As an interesting example in the context here, consider the question what constitutes history. There are many other things with great import you can&#x27;t really measure the important part of.

          2. jswelker · · focus · HN ↗
            See Hamlet, who famously lost everything after basing his charitable giving strategy on pure reason.
        2. claytongulick · · focus · HN ↗
          &gt; claiming baselessly things like &quot;polyamory&quot; was widespread among &quot;the movements&quot; adherents.

          Which is especially weird to do in 2026. I mean, I get the salacious clickbait, but seriously, at this point does anyone really give a shit what consenting adults do in their private lives?

          I remember when outrage peddler Laura Loomer did a big pearl clutch on X about some other conservative being into consensual non-monagamy, and the collective response from everyone from all political stripes was a giant shrug.

          1. nullc · · focus · HN ↗
            Some of the allegations involve minors, people whom are lured into economically dependent conditions, and group pressure situations where consent is not so easily defined (no matter how much motivated reasoning is abused to rationalize breaking with &#x27;outmoded conventions&#x27; like not seducing subordinates).

            But part of it is also a more general point: Their plan is to build an &quot;AI God&quot; constructed according to their own moral theory before anyone else, and that it will prevent anyone else from creating a competing god-- the absurdity of this plan doesn&#x27;t prevent the effort from creating terrible harm (e.g. the corporate monopolization of AI, mass surveillance on unimaginable scale, etc). The AI safety faction sees itself as moral guardians of humanity&#x27;s future-- and it&#x27;s absolutely relevant that many people would consider them weird and that some would consider them (rightly or wrongly) outright morally repugnant.

            You lose your right to have no one else worry about what you do in your private life when you start making plans to take over the world, even if you think it&#x27;s in everyone&#x27;s best interest. Every other modern authoritarian dictator also though their actions were in the public&#x27;s interest.

        3. Quartzium · · focus · HN ↗
          &gt;Effective altruism originates from the intention to rationally approach the obvious question, how to do the most good in the world.

          Rationality tends to fail spectacularly when basing it on wrong assumptions. Which are subtly made.

          1. Loquebantur · · focus · HN ↗
            If so, why don&#x27;t you point them out explicitly?

            It&#x27;s pretty wild how people denounce the very possibility of approaching that question rationally, while doing so in an obviously irrational way.

        4. nullc · · focus · HN ↗
          &gt; Effective altruism originates from the intention to rationally approach the obvious question, how to do the most good in the world. That&#x27;s obviously not a bad thing?

          To use the movement&#x27;s own language: At the best EA&#x27;s are paperclip maximizers. Why is it that in one context people recognize formula driven &#x27;rational&#x27; utility maximizing as obviously dangerous and evil, but in another see it as the ultimate expression of good. It&#x27;s a specious argument to go &quot;my objectives good, clippies bad&quot;. It may well be true but the maximizing party never knows their goals are bad!

          &quot;Rational &#x27;good&#x27; maximizing&quot; is itself problematic, because it disregard the danger inherit in any utility function. The nazi campaign to cleanse their population was motivated and justified in part by the latest in eugenic science.

          Absolutely central to the EA centered facets of &quot;ai safety&quot; is imposing controls on people development and use of AI-- or even more broadly on their behavior in order to prevent creation of any AI that doesn&#x27;t follow their definition of &#x27;good&#x27; (which they equate to the literal destruction of the universe). It isn&#x27;t just crazy, it&#x27;s evil, and it can be reliably predicted to end in harm at the scale of genocide if it doesn&#x27;t fizzle on its own.

          The weird sex cult crap is there, along with the embezzling, nepotism, and other dramacrap-- but I think these are just a common side effect of grifter driven cults rather than being integral to anything that need concern the public. AI doomerism would still be a dangerous cult even if they were all chaste monks.

          1. ben_w · · focus · HN ↗
            &gt; &quot;Rational &#x27;good&#x27; maximizing&quot; is itself problematic, because it disregard the danger inherit in any utility function.

            It only gets so if you push beyond the model which you used to approximate &quot;good&quot;, not so much when you&#x27;re working at the margins.

            When I&#x27;ve looked at what they do, while there are some huge blind spots (like Sam Bankman-Fried), they do also say &quot;don&#x27;t bother giving money to cause XYZ, they have more than they can spend already, donate skills to them or money somewhere else&quot;).

            &gt; The nazi campaign to cleanse their population was motivated and justified in part by the latest in eugenic science.

            I&#x27;m deeply suspicious of everyone who says &quot;we&#x27;ve solved all the problems with eugenics, this time we can do it right and make everyone healthy!&quot; for much the same reason I care about AI safety: humans are kinda idiots with this sort of power. Too many blind spots about the downsides, even for the ones who are not explicitly power-seeking.

            That said, I&#x27;m sure some anti-car campaign has said a similar thing as you about Autobahns. It&#x27;s a terrible argument.

            &gt; Absolutely central to the EA centered facets of &quot;ai safety&quot; is imposing controls on people development and use of AI-- or even more broadly on their behavior in order to prevent creation of any AI that doesn&#x27;t follow their definition of &#x27;good&#x27; (which they equate to the literal destruction of the universe). It isn&#x27;t just crazy, it&#x27;s evil, and it can be reliably predicted to end in harm at the scale of genocide if it doesn&#x27;t fizzle on its own.

            I think you misunderstand: Their definition of &#x27;good&#x27; in this context being &#x27;do not destroy the universe&#x27; is due to how incredibly bad humanity currently is at aligning AI with literally any human intention. Like, our understanding of AI alignment simply isn&#x27;t good enough today for us to be able to answer a question like &quot;if you extrapolate current models to arbitrary skill level, do we get a Warhammer-40k-esque GrimDark future, or Iain M. Bank&#x27;s Fully Automated Luxury Communism utopia?&quot;

    5. [deleted] · · focus · HN ↗

      [deleted]

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