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Plunging test scores are a slow-moving catastrophe

207 points · 414 comments · vinni2

  1. dumberquestions · · focus · HN ↗
    The drop from 2018 to 2022 is as big as the one from 2022 to 2026, so it's not obvious whether AI had a role at all, although it's highly plausible.

    I suspect the bigger culprit is the optimized monetization of human attention, because pre-algorithmic social media doesn't seem to be as destructive. The fact that science wasn't as affected as math and reading (both of which rely more on attention/practice than rote memorization) somewhat supports this.

    1. asutekku · · focus · HN ↗
      Between 2018 and 2022, we saw the widespread adoption of social media and the rapid digitalization of education. Focusing on these key shifts, it seems clear to me that any kind of electronic learning has had a negative impact on education :p
      1. closeparen · · focus · HN ↗
        Essentially every high schooler had an active Facebook account and essentially every school paper was written on a word processor by, like, 2010. By 2018 even Instagram is starting to be played out. I would be very surprised to see a material increase in the share of US or western students using social media over the 2018-2022 period.
        1. dataflow · · focus · HN ↗
          You say this as if 2010 Facebook was comparable to 2022 Instagram/TikTok.
          1. ardacinar · · focus · HN ↗
            Parent comment was talking about "widespread adoption of social media", not anything qualitative.
          2. closeparen · · focus · HN ↗
            The timeline is more plausible for the rise of short-form video.
            1. junofan · · focus · HN ↗
              Feels like a hobbyhorse. The article discusses issues between the educator and the child, like:

              > An even bigger problem, though, is muddle-headed thinking among educators. Some have fallen for the leftist canard that tests are harmful and grades are racist. Some have allowed reasonable worries about children’s mental health to warp into an excuse for low expectations. Some unhelpful habits acquired during the pandemic have stuck: children are still missing more lessons than before, and many teachers who relaxed their grading standards have failed to tighten up again.

              I think we should look there and focus on what’s actually happening between the educator and the child.

              1. Arainach · · focus · HN ↗
                Like so many conservative scare tactics, this is complete bullshit.

                I hang out with a lot of teacher. Grade inflation is because if you dare give anything less to an A to a student, their parents complain to administration and administration always gives in and never stands up for the teacher. Same if students aren't turning work in - parents complain, administration says to pass them.

                Educators are underwater, overworked, burnt out, and it's getting worse - and none of that is their fault. Every year they're asked to do more with less, which is why many of the best have retired or moved to other work.

              2. jeltz · · focus · HN ↗
                That just sounds like another hobbyhorse.
                1. kelseyfrog · · focus · HN ↗
                  My take is real. Everything else is people pushing agendas.
          3. Fricken · · focus · HN ↗
            Most people were still accessing Facebook via desktop in 2010, and the term "engagement algorithm" had yet to be coined.
        2. moron4hire · · focus · HN ↗
          If only we knew what could possible have happened right in that time period to really throw a wrench in the works of the education system...
          1. trhway · · focus · HN ↗

            [dead]

          2. danielheath · · focus · HN ↗
            Right? Imagine how badly it could go if a disease known to cause brain damage became widespread and was circulating in the population.
            1. moron4hire · · focus · HN ↗
              And surely one could never predict the impact of sending kids home for two years and expecting them to manage their own education on their own honor. Surely school aged children are better at paying attention to Zoom meetings than I am as an adult. It's in the computer! Kids are good at computer!
            2. marcosdumay · · focus · HN ↗
              If you click on the article that has actual data, the trend started in 2013 and has been mostly the same since then.
        3. williamtell · · focus · HN ↗
          I don't know for kids specifically but average user time: 2012 1:30 2016 2:08 2019-now ~2:30

          If child patterns match the average, an average 8th grader from now has accumulated something like 30% more than one in 2018.

        4. FranOntanaya · · focus · HN ↗
          I'd say the main difference is that you couldn't take a device with good media capabilities, good and cheap-ish networking and lasting battery everywhere. Laptops, netbooks, tablets were a tad too bulky, lasted only a few hours unplugged and mainly wifi, and mobile internet was not all that great.
          1. closeparen · · focus · HN ↗
            True leading up to 2010. The couple of kids who had the original iPhone or the 3G were unusual. Most of my classmates - including myself - got one between the 4 (2010) and the 5S (2013).
            1. neuraldeepnet · · focus · HN ↗

              [dead]

            2. neuraldeepnet · · focus · HN ↗

              [dead]

        5. bmacho · · focus · HN ↗
          I think it can shift rapidly when an addiction or compulsory behaviour becomes a problem.

          For example, made-up numbers, but: 1-2 hours of doom-scrolling daily is okay, as it still leaves time for 1-2 hours of schoolwork at home. 3-4 hours of such doom-scrolling, doom-scrolling between classes or during classes will have a measurable negative effect on your academic knowledge and abilities. (I don't have much information on how US schoolkids live today.)

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