Thread

1. reducesuffering · 1791073971 · focus · HN ↗

   “I believe there’s about a 50% chance we all die because of the development of smarter-than-human AI systems, and that our actions over the next two to 10 years will determine the outcome.”

   There are a gargantuan number of extremely intelligent AI researchers and Turing Award winners saying the same thing. They are the ones closest to understanding the technology.

   Where there’s smoke there’s fire.

   1. swingandamiss · 1791074349 · focus · HN ↗

      I don't believe it. Ever since I've been alive I was told something would kill us all. This is the new thing that's going to kill us all. I don't believe it.

      1. estearum · 1791076468 · focus · HN ↗

         Do you have some examples?

         There are very very few things that could even hypothetically kill us all, so I'm curious if you grew up being passed around a series of apocalyptic doomsday cults or something?

         1. swingandamiss · 1791078976 · focus · HN ↗

            Y2K, Climate Change (global cooling, global warming), ozone layer, Russians, Muslims, to name a few. Now go ahead and tell me why these don't count.

            1. pcthrowaway · 1791079972 · focus · HN ↗

               Almost no one believed Y2K would kill everyone, or even a significant (>50%) percentage of the population. Beyond a few people talking about a Nostradamus prophecy or some such, people maybe were concerned that airplanes would fall out of the sky and elevators would plummet.

               1. swingandamiss · 1791080172 · focus · HN ↗

                  There you go.

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