I feel like the thing a lot of people are missing about the AI explosion is that there will be new opportunities that didn't exist before. Sure, things will look a lot different than they used to, but we're going to be able to create systems that are far more complicated than anything we could make before. We're not going to simply automate 2022 levels of producing software and stop there, we're going to leverage this new technology to move faster and build more complicated things that wouldn't be realistic with hand-coding. I don't know what that will look like yet, but human history has shown that when we get some advanced technology, it's leveraged to create more than was ever possible before, not just stopping at making what existed in the past automatic.
> we're going to be able to create systems that are far more complicated than anything we could make before
I find that unlikely. You can't outsource your understanding of a system to a machine that fundamentally does not understand.
Complexity is built on top of layers of abstraction, and AI is not an abstraction.
Moreover, I don't see obvious areas where more complexity would drastically improve our software. We're drowning in unnecessary complexity right now. FAANG has had (effectively) unlimited manpower for decades, and what have they done with it? Mostly enshittified once-decent software.
jrflo · · focus · HN ↗
archagon · · focus · HN ↗
I find that unlikely. You can't outsource your understanding of a system to a machine that fundamentally does not understand.
Complexity is built on top of layers of abstraction, and AI is not an abstraction.
Moreover, I don't see obvious areas where more complexity would drastically improve our software. We're drowning in unnecessary complexity right now. FAANG has had (effectively) unlimited manpower for decades, and what have they done with it? Mostly enshittified once-decent software.