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348 points · 340 comments · polvi

  1. bananaflag · · focus · HN ↗
    This is probably going to be hugely successful with the majority of the population.
    1. copperx · · focus · HN ↗
      It's a matter of weeks/months before they'll host a complete webapp, not just a site. The Saaspocalypse will be complete.
      1. nozzlegear · · focus · HN ↗
        The Saaspocalypse was a wet fart that never went anywhere. People aren't using these AI tools to kill or replace SaaS at their jobs as much as HN wants us to believe.

        <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.stripeeconomics.com&#x2F;p&#x2F;the-saaspocalypse-was-more-like-a" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.stripeeconomics.com&#x2F;p&#x2F;the-saaspocalypse-was-more...

        1. ameliaquining · · focus · HN ↗
          The argument there wasn&#x27;t that everyone everywhere would use individually customized software* instead of packaged SaaS; it was that, because AI greatly reduces the cost of building an internal app or service, it improves enterprises&#x27; BATNA when dealing with SaaS vendors, which means surplus will shift from producers to consumers. It&#x27;s not obvious to me that that&#x27;s not happening, since it may have been masked by a general increase in automation since AI also synergizes significantly with SaaS. (The Stripe Economics post gets into this a little, though it&#x27;s mostly less curious than I&#x27;d like about why the &quot;SaaSpocalypse&quot; didn&#x27;t materialize. Of course, Stripe has an economic interest here.)

          * Some people do think this (e.g., <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;sockpuppet.org&#x2F;blog&#x2F;2026&#x2F;09&#x2F;25&#x2F;what-even-is-an-os-now&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;sockpuppet.org&#x2F;blog&#x2F;2026&#x2F;09&#x2F;25&#x2F;what-even-is-an-os-no...), but I remain somewhat skeptical that this&#x27;ll be true for the most economically significant applications. This is not because I&#x27;m an AI capabilities skeptic (I&#x27;m not, I&#x27;m more of a doomer), but because even in a world where AI is designing and implementing all the software, there are probably still significant benefits to standardization. I see it as sort of analogous to compilers; we might get a world where compilers are both used and maintained almost exclusively by LLMs, but we probably won&#x27;t get one where compilers stop being used or maintained at all because LLMs write everything in assembly.

          1. tripledry · · focus · HN ↗
            In stuff like wikis and ticket systems what I see is people now just making their own little tools around the ones we already use, this arguably just sements their position even deeper.

            Also I dont get the inhouse argument, you dont really save anything. So instead of paying X to SaaS, you now propose to pay X to anthropic instead AND maintain said SaaS... what? how is that better, that just shifted the cost to another company and you got the burden of maintenance and responsibility.

            1. ameliaquining · · focus · HN ↗
              I don&#x27;t understand which part of my comment, if any, you&#x27;re disagreeing with.
              1. tripledry · · focus · HN ↗
                I&#x27;m not disagreeing with your comment, should probably have made that clear.

                The SaaS to inhouse argument is just something I&#x27;ve heard that came to mind when reading this thread.

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