Thread

1. joegibbs · 1790897129 · focus · HN ↗

   There's one of mine in there where I predicted in 2023 that it would be 20 years until AI would be reliably able to entirely build and deploy arbitrary applications from a prompt. I was off by about 18 years on that one!

   1. aleph_minus_one · 1790930746 · focus · HN ↗

      > There's one of mine in there where I predicted in 2023 that it would be 20 years until AI would be reliably able to entirely build and deploy arbitrary applications from a prompt. I was off by about 18 years on that one!

      If you take "arbitrary" seriously, we are still very far away from it.

      1. eleventen · 1790931235 · focus · HN ↗

         What is the strict definition of arbitrary you feel we haven’t reached? Right now the limit is scale and complexity, not domain or “type” of application.

         1. pessimizer · 1790958527 · focus · HN ↗

            One-shot a minesweeper clone that isn't screwed up in an insane way. Bonus points if you choose a language/platform that LLMs aren't likely to have already seen a minesweeper clone done in/for already.

            Right now, they can't build anything without help that isn't buggy in unintelligible ways. If you push the thing feature by feature, have a lot of tests and a lot of instrumenting, and you check that it isn't cheating or lying after every step, you can get a lot of work done.

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