Thread

1. joegibbs · 1790897129 · focus · HN ↗

   There's one of mine in there where I predicted in 2023 that it would be 20 years until AI would be reliably able to entirely build and deploy arbitrary applications from a prompt. I was off by about 18 years on that one!

   1. aleph_minus_one · 1790930746 · focus · HN ↗

      > There's one of mine in there where I predicted in 2023 that it would be 20 years until AI would be reliably able to entirely build and deploy arbitrary applications from a prompt. I was off by about 18 years on that one!

      If you take "arbitrary" seriously, we are still very far away from it.

      1. eleventen · 1790931235 · focus · HN ↗

         What is the strict definition of arbitrary you feel we haven’t reached? Right now the limit is scale and complexity, not domain or “type” of application.

         1. lukeschlather · 1790957531 · focus · HN ↗

            Well, it depends on how you define "complexity." LLMs are totally rewriting the notions of what's hard for a computer but easy for a human. LLMs have really bad spatial reasoning. I would have to play around a bit, but I'm very certain you could come up with a prompt where an AI is incapable of properly generating a "simple" app that has some important layout constraints.

            And just generally, anything that requires the LLM to understand something LLMs don't understand, it's going to fail. I'd hesitate to give an exact example without trying Astra/Fable but I'm sure they exist.

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