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Vote on which of Hacker News' challenges for AI have been met

202 points · 271 comments · stabbles

  1. joegibbs · · focus · HN ↗
    There's one of mine in there where I predicted in 2023 that it would be 20 years until AI would be reliably able to entirely build and deploy arbitrary applications from a prompt. I was off by about 18 years on that one!
    1. aleph_minus_one · · focus · HN ↗
      > There's one of mine in there where I predicted in 2023 that it would be 20 years until AI would be reliably able to entirely build and deploy arbitrary applications from a prompt. I was off by about 18 years on that one!

      If you take "arbitrary" seriously, we are still very far away from it.

      1. eleventen · · focus · HN ↗
        What is the strict definition of arbitrary you feel we haven’t reached? Right now the limit is scale and complexity, not domain or “type” of application.
        1. dwattttt · · focus · HN ↗
          > reliably able to entirely build and deploy arbitrary applications from a prompt

          You're maybe thinking that we can build and deploy arbitrary "kinds" of application. Being able to "build and deploy arbitrary applications" would mean I could ask for any scale or complexity in my application.

          1. dmd · · focus · HN ↗
            Find me even one human in the world who meets your criteria, then.

            edit: I guess I misread this. I thought you were saying "well, AI isn't smart until it can solve any arbitrary problem in the whole world"

            1. zahlman · · focus · HN ↗
              Now that is moving the goalposts. The entire subthread has nothing to do with whether AI can match humans in any particular endeavour. It's simply about one user's past prediction about an AI capability.
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