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Micron CEO Says Memory Supply Will Be Much Tighter in 2027 and 2028 Than in 2026

394 points · 443 comments · speckx

  1. ocd · · focus · HN ↗
    I'm not a business guy, but I think I would be very worried if I created any opening (even on the very long term) for competition to justify itself being built up to meet demand (or national security requirements of other countries) on an industry I mostly control, because I prioritized extremely high prices for a few years that might have the effect of changing the arithmetic for potential competitors that wouldn't have done it before.

    It makes me consider whether there would be retaliation in later years against the US intellectual property system in countries other than China. While RAM is a tangible product, the areas it serves aren't really.

    1. wewewedxfgdf · · focus · HN ↗
      There is 3 companies that make memory - they ALL want to keep memory prices high for as long as possible.
      1. HarHarVeryFunny · · focus · HN ↗
        It had mostly come down to 3 (Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron), but the Chinese manufacture's market share is growing rapidly, especially as they ramp up due to sanctions. CXMT is currently 10% of global DRAM, having seen previous YOY growth of 1%->4%->8%. YMTC is now global #3 in NAND.

        It wouldn't be surprising to also see Japan make a comeback in memory - they are investing heavily (both privately & government) in semiconductor manufacturing.

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