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The last time my family was replaced by technology

339 points · 641 comments · megalomanu

  1. zug_zug · · focus · HN ↗
    And my great great grandpa thought horses would lose all their jobs to cars. And they all did and it was never the same again.

    There’s no quick answers, but intuitively I think we all get that the % of jobs not doable by AI and robotics approaches 0 over time.

    1. dsign · · focus · HN ↗
      > I think we all get that the % of jobs not doable by AI and robotics approaches 0 over time.

      I also think that will be the case. However, not all the jobs are worth being automated. Say, if you are a modern-day horse-riding instructor, I very much doubt the robots will come knocking the door to take your job. Not because they can't, but because the headache is not economically worth it.

      1. zamadatix · · focus · HN ↗
        It'd be uneconomical today but I don't see any reason to believe it will always be that way. Any time you want a high standard of living for people it creates an incentive to eventually make a cheaper way of doing what those people make their high standard of living with.

        About the only things I can think to guarantee will have some constancy are "for the sake of being human" type things. Much like buying handmade bowls is something you can do out of pure preference/taste/ideology even though it's cheaper to buy massed produced ones.

        1. frt2 · · focus · HN ↗

          [dead]

      2. asdff · · focus · HN ↗
        I can see that going away too. Eventually the average horse rider is going to be someone of stature of a saudi prince at the rate horse ownership coupled with inequality is going. They'd probably be all about buying the Gemini horse teacher over learning from some lesser birth stableboy. I bet eventually all tutoring from a human is seen as some lesser ick by the rich. People already think as much about you today when you talk about say not relying on claude code. It is all about optics and virtue signalling pedigrees at the end of the day.
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