Thread

1. jakozaur · 1790761035 · focus · HN ↗

   I&#x27;m Polish, but this is such a pessimistic, overdramatic take. The visualisations are impressive, but you&#x27;re living in Poland&#x27;s golden age. See this Hacker News story with 1,000+ upvotes: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=48062117">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=48062117

   The war in Ukraine is a tragedy, but it has proved that Russia is weak. The price shock will speed up the transition to renewables, and Iran is losing its grip on Hormuz. So many of the other issues are solvable.

   It&#x27;s easy to be a pessimist, but there&#x27;s a bright future ahead of us.

   1. blini-kot · 1790783525 · focus · HN ↗

      &gt;but it has proved that Russia is weak

      not really, I think.

      To stop the advance and drag it into positional warfare whole europe had to scrape for surplus arms, US provides a ton of munitions and guidance, the financial burden carried by the EU is absolutely insane - Ukarine&#x27;s military budget is 40% of its GDP excluding direct military aid, etc.

      Of course the war didn&#x27;t go as to RF&#x27;s regime boasting, but of all things it actually proved that the regime is not to be underestimated - they are very flexible, can adapt well and are very fast at adopting technology into the field.

      I mean, we know now that they are not as powerful as they marketed - but the only other country who has engaged in a direct war with a peer adversary is Ukraine, and we don&#x27;t know how prepared every other country is in practice.

      I wish all the best for Poland and Polish people, but I don&#x27;t think we should hedge our bets on nation-states and the situation around that going forth in 21st century

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