September 2026: The world today, as seen by one Polish guy
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September 2026: The world today, as seen by one Polish guy
Unofficial Hacker News client; not affiliated with Y Combinator.
throwawayffffas · · focus · HN ↗
Calm the fuck down. We outnumber them three to one. Militarily even without the Americans, their active military is 1.2 millions according to the IISS the collective European one, not taking into account British, Turkish, Canadian or American is about 1.5.
We have a significant numerical advantage in kit as well a lot more tanks, apcs, etc, more and better airplanes, double or triple their navy, their only advantage is a larger ammunition production which makes sense because they are at war.
Their only advantage is our disunity and our lack of cohesion, that's the main thing the Americans provided to European defense on a conventional level, a singular command infrastructure through NATO's headquarters, on a secondary level they brought along significant logistical capabilities. But lets not forget that Russia does not have these logistical capabilities either.
I am sure someone is going to say but these are all obsolete cold war platforms that won't survive a second in the modern drone dominated battlefield. Sure, but the main advantage of drones is that they are cheap and easy to manufacture fast. European militaries do not stockpile significant amounts of these because they become obsolete in a matter of months. There are experiments going on across all of Europe on using small drones for all purposes and yeah if shit hits the fan the EU industry has to step up on production.
It would be incredibly foolish for the Russians to engage any European country, the balance of conventional power is incredibly tilted against them the only thing they can bet on is our fragmentation, and while the war in Ukraine is going on I don't see this as possible either since the bulk of their combat ready forces are bogged down there.
The real threat would emerge only if that conflict ended in their favor.