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September 2026: The world today, as seen by one Polish guy

522 points · 391 comments · marjancek

  1. Tade0 · · focus · HN ↗
    I feel like this is overdramatized a bit.

    For instance: it's mentioned that EU gas storage is at 67% and Germany's at 56%.

    What is not mentioned though is that Poland's storage is at 97% because the previous administration, for better or worse, was paranoid enough to invest in a sizeable marine gas terminal and the current one stocked up early.

    Regarding real estate: adjusted for inflation prices peaked 2.5 years ago, interest rates are also much lower than back then. Nobody is buying because all the Ukrainian refugees who were moving to Poland are here already and that's the last bump in population this country will see for the foreseeable future.

    Also there's the threat of war on Polish soil, which affects investor sentiment.

    1. Aeolun · · focus · HN ↗
      Germany hasn’t historically been nice about leaving Polish oil to the Polish when they decide they need it though?
      1. skrebbel · · focus · HN ↗
        Your comment implies Germany can just somehow command Poland to please hand over their gas, which obviously makes no sense, so I think you either forgot to include some key detail or you’re just talking out of your ass.

        Unless you mean nazi invasions ofc in which case you’re just a troll.

        1. consp · · focus · HN ↗
          On the ad absurdum: They'd also go the other way. The integration with the Dutch gas fields and system in Groningen is good enough and there is at least two decades of gas left in the fields. While closed, they can be reopened within a relatively short time and there are storage fields abound there (Groningen and Drente storages account for half the Dutch supply). And since it's ad absurdum, the earthquakes do not matter.
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