I'm curious how this will ultimately pan out. Presently, we scrutinize frontier labs because they're the ones able to easily deploy large agent swarms. It's not hard to imagine that as costs come down and models become better, smaller and smaller labs/organizations will increasingly have this same capability.
As some back of the envelope math, Openai claimed to have used ~300b output tokens to solve navier-stokes. 4x$200 plans allows me to burn ~2-3b input/output tokens a day. What's to stop a few highly motivated individuals with a reasonable background in mathematics from spinning up their own massive agent swarms in 6-12 months?
I think this fragile truce between ai-powered mathematics and overarching mathematical community is just that - fragile. In the same way the stable diffusion broke the dam with the artist community, we're seeing the same here.
yuzuquat · · focus · HN ↗
As some back of the envelope math, Openai claimed to have used ~300b output tokens to solve navier-stokes. 4x$200 plans allows me to burn ~2-3b input/output tokens a day. What's to stop a few highly motivated individuals with a reasonable background in mathematics from spinning up their own massive agent swarms in 6-12 months?
I think this fragile truce between ai-powered mathematics and overarching mathematical community is just that - fragile. In the same way the stable diffusion broke the dam with the artist community, we're seeing the same here.