Thread

1. jollyllama · 1790713577 · focus · HN ↗

   What's total US annual payrolls? I don't think it's beyond the order of $20 trillion. So they're going to have to replace something on the order of magnitude of half of all jobs OR "create" the difference, in terms of jobs going to AI.

   1. missedthecue · 1790715291 · focus · HN ↗

      1. This is global, not USA only

      2. Global GDP will be ~$165T by 2031

      3. This is not $6T of ChatGPT subscription revenue. The article actually specifically says of the $6T, $200-$400B would be subscription and AI app revenue in 2031.

      4. The $6T figure is AI "economic enablement". Drugs, robotics, research, coding, manufacturing, materials, etc...

      1. jollyllama · 1790716710 · focus · HN ↗

         Fair point about global vs US as your sibling notes.

         > 2. Global GDP will be ~$165T by 2031

         But GDP is a very different thing than payrolls.

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