Thread

1. gradus_ad · 1790701889 · focus · HN ↗

   Ominous for the industry and investors that token price is becoming the main battleground. Could be Anthropic's rationale for IPOing this year.

   1. mixdup · 1790702708 · focus · HN ↗

      Another piece of evidence on the pile that the sudden panic and desire to "slow down" is because they're hitting the plateau on capability

      Which, honestly, is fine. A lot of juice to squeeze in efficiency and even if models got zero more capable, making the capability that is already here cheaper is a huge win for everyone (except Nvidia)

      1. semiquaver · 1790702921 · focus · HN ↗

         What universe do you live in that you can look at the past six months and see anything like a plateau in capability?

         Edit: removed a comment that was uncharitable and rude, for which I apologize.

         1. ActionHank · 1790703056 · focus · HN ↗

            Have we honestly seen that great a leap in the last 6 months, or just better application of what we had 6 months before that.

            We are seeing multiple frontier models dropping on the same day and no one bats an eye, because it's more of the same.

            1. CuriouslyC · 1790703716 · focus · HN ↗

               The difference between 6 months ago frontier and now frontier in 3d modelling, graphics and video editing is night and day.

               1. ActionHank · 1790706046 · focus · HN ↗

                  Just because there are new capabilities, doesn't mean they've pushed passed the plateau, they've just expanded where the previous solutions work.

                  We've gone from 80% in some places to 80% in some more places.

                  1. CuriouslyC · 1790708461 · focus · HN ↗

                     > We've gone from 80% in some places to 80% in some more places.

                     Any area that is verifiable will trend inexorably towards 100% over time. In unverifiable areas, it'll always be "80%" because the ubiquity of "AI" style erodes its value, and ">80%" for unverifiable things involves fashion, cachet and "vibes" that humans will probably never knowingly let it have.

                     1. ActionHank · 1790709417 · focus · HN ↗

                        Just checked your website, you really drank all the koolaid huh?
                  2. coderenegade · 1790745016 · focus · HN ↗

                     I don't think the math community thinks there's been a plateau. The models have gone from being a joke to being able to crank out proofs to research grade problems.
            2. usef- · 1790724602 · focus · HN ↗

               Statements like these remind me how much each of us are in our own unique information bubbles. People seemed very excited about analysing the differences of each model on my feeds.

               Have you used recent ones on any large projects or coding issues? They've improved tremendously lately.

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