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Backblaze drive stats for Q2 2026

307 points · 113 comments · HieronymusBosch

  1. realityfactchex · · focus · HN ↗
    In 2013 Backblaze saw ~14% avg failure rate at 3 years 3 months. Drive useful life: 4 years, roughly.

    In 2021, Backblaze saw ~14% failure rate at 7 years 9 months. Drive useful life: about 6 years.

    That gave us what was a stable-seeming, old "replace drives at 5 years, or you're getting risky" rule of thumb (unless you prefer to replace on failure, of course).

    In 2025, Backblaze saw ~5% failure rate at 10 years 3 months. Drive useful life: ~10 years, roughly!

    Thanks for all the HDD improvements, industry!

    1. mzhaase · · focus · HN ↗
      I remember back in the late nineties / early 2000s drive failures really were pretty common. During my childhood I think I had three. I've never had a catastrophic failure since then, really came a long way.
      1. mrlonglong · · focus · HN ↗
        I once screamed at a 2.1GB Seagate hard disk and it died.

        Pretty crap.

        1. someonebaggy · · focus · HN ↗
          cue the youtube video of the guy yelling at his JBOD array and watching the latency spike
          1. OptionOfT · · focus · HN ↗
            Absolute gem: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.youtube.com&#x2F;watch?v=tDacjrSCeq4" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.youtube.com&#x2F;watch?v=tDacjrSCeq4
            1. gandreani · · focus · HN ↗
              Wow I didn&#x27;t realize it was Brendan Gregg doing the screaming. What a legend!
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