Thread

1. chasd00 · 1790595720 · focus · HN ↗

   I’ve never seen CEOs work so hard to make the public aware of how dangerous and out of control their flagship product is. It makes me automatically assume they’re scheming about something else like regulatory capture to protect their market.

   1. hellweaver666 · 1790597785 · focus · HN ↗

      I have a theory... the call to slow down is not because of the true danger of LLM's but because they can't actually deliver the General AI they're promising in the near future. They will use their "caution" to justify their failure to deliver (and then when this excuse is played out they will blame regulation, energy costs or a million other things).

      1. acdha · 1790599092 · focus · HN ↗

         This is exactly it: they have tools which are useful but they need close to AGI to justify the incredible amount of debt they’ve taken on for growth. They’re not normally given to having press conferences admitting to felonies but they need investors to believe they’re close enough to AGI to keep the money flowing in and, of course, they’re confident that the current administration won’t act between the direct payments and how much money they have riding on American AI supremacy.

         1. ozim · 1790600584 · focus · HN ↗

            What is even more funny ... AGI actually makes everything worthless. (I don't believe we can achieve AGI with current means to be clear)

            Looking at it from one way would be "winner takes all, real AGI company will be most powerful and everyone will switch to use it".

            But it is not like that and in my opinion it is more like "AGI wipes whole knowledge work, so no one who cares has any money to pay for tokens/subscriptions anymore". Even without AGI current state of art of LLMs already starts creating such a problem. How do they continue to grow their numbers, when they actively cut the branch they are sitting on? How does AI LLMs or AGI pays for its own electricity, when people switch from hype to resource protection (like not spending any money, because generating funny cats loses with having a dinner)?

            1. idiotsecant · 1790613004 · focus · HN ↗

               It's becoming increasingly clear that AGI is what you call a thing until you understand enough about it to see why it isn't AGI. I think AGI will always recede the closer we get to it.

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