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Plunging test scores are a slow-moving catastrophe

207 points · 414 comments · vinni2

  1. niemandhier · · focus · HN ↗
    While kids practice the skills of the 21st century, testing got stuck in the 19 hundreds.

    I see kids train edge AI models, built things using coding assistants and discuss post-modern philosophy.

    I see the same kids struggle to write structured interpretations of 1950s texts they have no emotional connection to.

    Kids are worse in orthography, handwriting, and reading stuffy texts from front to end, but they are so much better in a plethora of skills that did not exist 20 years ago.

    1. lelanthran · · focus · HN ↗
      This is a superficial take.

      Kids are worse at reading, period. Not just stuffy texts from 50 years ago, current stuff too according to the research.

      The "skills" you claim they are learning have such a low barrier to entry they aren't skills at all.

      Instructing a machine "make me a Foo" requires no thought.

      1. spongebobstoes · · focus · HN ↗
        how is "worse at reading" evaluated?

        test taking is not a valuable skill. it's mostly pattern matching against the question

        people need new skills in a new age. the education system hasn't even kept pace with the existence of the internet, let alone AI

        1. mkl95 · · focus · HN ↗
          You read a text. Then, you are asked a series of questions to assess your reading comprehension. Rinse and repeat for a school year to get a solid idea of each student's proficiency.

          This skill has been declining steadily since the 1970s, but the decline has accelerated since the mid 2010s. Eventually the productivity boom should take a hit when newer generations struggle to understand basic tasks and the older generations retire. AI is probably orthogonal to the solution space.

          1. spongebobstoes · · focus · HN ↗
            my point is that evaluating reading comprehension is typically done as a test, and test taking is not a valuable skill

            the evidence is that individual workers are more productive than ever, and this trend has continued since long before the 1970s. this is despite any measured decline in reading comprehension

            the older generations are obviously not propping up the world economy through their singular reading skills

            1. pixl97 · · focus · HN ↗
              Individual workers is a rather nebulous statement without citing how the measurement was taken. Like if you have 9 people with zero money and 1 person with a trillion dollars, on average everyone is a multi billionaire.

              The vast majority of our production comes from more and more highly automated tools. The concentration of skills to build those things can skew the results in the short term and lead to new and interesting problems long term.

              1. parineum · · focus · HN ↗
                > The vast majority of our production comes from more and more highly automated tools.

                That fewer and fewer people operate. Hence the people are more productive. Additionally, instead of everyone being unemployed, we just raise the standard of living and demand more stuff that employs just about everyone.

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