Thread

1. pu_pe · 1790317137 · focus · HN ↗

   We had people departing from OpenAI, Anthropic and now Google. The pace the frontier open letter was signed by over 1,000 experts. At which point do we believe the message?

   1. worik · 1790318807 · focus · HN ↗

      Someone says that they believe there is a 0.1 probability of their worsening human life in a decade

      Then they say they are going to keep doing it...

      Forgive me for alerting you: they are liars

      1. jadermcs · 1790321173 · focus · HN ↗

         basic mathematical expectation, positive * chancep + negative *chancen. People smoke knowing there’s a chance to kill them because the positive outcome outweighs this risk. Creating AGI/ASI can solve every human problem, so the risks is taken, but this doesn’t mean you have to put uranium in your cigars, or do RSI.

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