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California is chasing wealth that has feet

293 points · 870 comments · idbnstra

  1. abeppu · · focus · HN ↗
    > The land value tax can’t be dodged by leaving nor can it be passed on to renters.

    In what sense can't it be passed to renters? Esp if all landlords in the market were faced with a new land tax that they had not previously planned for, why would it not be passed on?

    1. larsiusprime · · focus · HN ↗
      Rent is a function of supply and demand, not a landlord's costs, otherwise we would expect changes in e.g. mortgage interest costs to be passed on to, but in practice we don't see this effect. We also don't see landlords who own their properties outright (and thus don't have mortgage interest costs) charging lower rents than landlords in the neighborhood with identical properties who have mortgages. When landlords' costs drop, do they drop the rent in response?

      Taxes can be passed on when the tax induces a change in supply. Conventional property taxes are partially passed through because the component of the tax that falls on the building. Tax buildings, get less buildings.

      Taxes on land do not affect the supply of the land, this implies they are not passed on and the research literature largely agrees with this.

      1. EgregiousCube · · focus · HN ↗
        Landlord costs impact supply.
        1. pydry · · focus · HN ↗
          LVT would push up the supply of rental properties by ensuring that property owners who don't rent out their properties or who don't make efficient use of land lose money.

          Thats an incentive to rent out the property or sell up to somebody who will.

          It would apply harsh market discipline on landlords - a demographic that has usually been rather coddled.

          1. xp84 · · focus · HN ↗
            > property owners who don't rent out their properties

            The existence of property tax (which on a single house in some areas of the state is upwards of $15,000 a year already) already makes it absolutely ruinous to just sit on an extra house you don't need and not rent it out.

            > or who don't make efficient use of land

            A little more convincing. Though I suspect most empty land in places where anyone would be willing to live in California, is empty because our insane zoning laws don't allow what would otherwise make sense there (I don't care that it's like what most areas have -- it's insane to have laws that would make it illegal to build a place like San Francisco, Brooklyn, or Boston).

            The funny thing about those zoning laws though is that they're held up by a rare case of bipartisanship:

            - The MAGA Boomer set who doesn't want any more development near them because "it'll bring traffic" or noise or crime

            - And most of the "progressives" who don't want any more development anywhere because "we hate greedy developers" and "Not enough of this proposed development is low-income housing for the government to dole out in lotteries to a few lucky families."

            1. lesuorac · · focus · HN ↗
              Idk, I’ve seen plenty of houses get torn down and replaced by a $2M house and just sit vacant years until they sell.

              15k/2M is 75 basis points. Its definitely profitable to just sit on land especially if you turned it into a parking lot or some other barely improved thing.

              1. xp84 · · focus · HN ↗
                On a 2M house the current property tax burden in california is $20,000 a year. More if you have Mello-Roos taxes in that subdivision.
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