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Unknown number of Texas voter registrations went unprocessed due to DPS error

106 points · 195 comments · hn_acker

shevy-java · 1790262513 · focus · HN ↗
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1. echelon · 1790263058 · focus · HN ↗
  > A de-facto dictatorship.
  It's a spectrum, not a binary. We're really far from the "packing bags and leaving the country" end where you're a slave to the state. America is nothing like an Iran or China where we have no power and no rights to overturn the state.
  Let's see if any of these petty games helps Trump with midterms. I highly doubt it. Kalshi is already calling it a double win for Democrats.
  The economic impact of the Iran War looks like it really cost Trump everything. And it's funny because he always campaigned on not getting into wars.
  1. ceejayoz · 1790263466 · focus · HN ↗
    > Kalshi is already calling it a double win for Democrats.
    It's quite common for Kalshi bets to go from <1% to 100% chance in minutes when news breaks. "Prediction markets" is almost Orwellian in its inaccuracy.
    someonebaggy · 1790264755 · focus · HN ↗
    If that's the case you should really buy that <1%. You have a 50% chance of 100xing your money.
    ceejayoz · 1790265359 · focus · HN ↗
    That would require these to be predictable.
    Which is the precise problem with the "prediction" markets writ large. Some things just... aren't.
    someonebaggy · 1790267446 · focus · HN ↗
    In what way is the outcome of a coin flip predictable?
    ceejayoz · 1790270169 · focus · HN ↗
    It is fairly predictably binary, barring an odd experimental setup.
    Versus, say, this sort of prediction market wisdom: <a href="https://imgur.com/a/pw5hW9x" rel="nofollow">https://imgur.com/a/pw5hW9x

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