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Jev Can't Be Calibrated

65 points · 61 comments · alexmolas

  1. croemer · · focus · HN ↗
    Article says that it _can_ be calibrated, it just isn't out of the box. So the title seems contradicted by the body.

    > If you want calibrated probabilities you’ll still need to recalibrate Jev’s probabilities on your own data. The good news is that is cheap. A few hundred labeled examples from your actual data can be enough to fit a Platt scaling on top of Jev’s scores.

    1. alexmolas · · focus · HN ↗
      Yes, good point. I meant that the Jev can't be calibrated for everyone out of the box. I find it important because this is one of their main claims. They literally say

      > Outcomes assigned a probability of 0.2 should occur about 20% of the time.

      and this is not true

      1. croemer · · focus · HN ↗
        Ah, I see, you mean "Jev cannot possibly be calibrated for everyone as there is always missing context".

        I understood it as "It is impossible to calibrate Jev".

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