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Jev Can't Be Calibrated

65 points · 61 comments · alexmolas

  1. abhgh · · focus · HN ↗
    I like this post. I haven't had time to dig into Jev (they aren't accepting new signups), but calibrated probabilities is one of their pitches that caught my attention. And I was wondering how does one offer them on user data. Standard calibration essentially ensures that if a score of 0.8 accompanies a positive prediction (assuming the simple case of binary classification), then if you gathered together all predictions with a score of 0.8, around 80% will be correct.

    If you have just one example you're sending to a model, how would they guarantee 80% over your data?

    FYI, for an overview, scikit's page on calibration is great [1], and my answer on Quora from a long time ago covers a specific type [2].

    [1] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;scikit-learn.org&#x2F;stable&#x2F;modules&#x2F;calibration.html" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;scikit-learn.org&#x2F;stable&#x2F;modules&#x2F;calibration.html

    [2] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.quora.com&#x2F;How-is-isotonic-regression-used-in-practice-for-calibration-in-machine-learning&#x2F;answer&#x2F;Abhishek-Ghose" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.quora.com&#x2F;How-is-isotonic-regression-used-in-pra...

    1. edot · · focus · HN ↗
      It&#x27;s on OpenRouter if you want to try it.
      1. abhgh · · focus · HN ↗
        Thank you!
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