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Tokens too cheap to meter

354 points · 227 comments · teoruiz

  1. jetrink · · focus · HN ↗
    > Tokens become cheaper than tool calls

    The author observes that a call to GPT-5.6 Luna is only 4-5 orders of magnitude more expensive than grep, and then predicts that at current rates of progress, calling an LLM will soon be cheaper than a grep. I think this is a good time to invoke Stein's Law: "If something cannot go on forever, it will stop." These efficiency improvements won't continue forever. It's more likely that the per-call cost of high-quality, compiled software like grep will be a lower-bound that LLMs asymptotically approach, rather than a line that they blow past with perpetual exponential progress. (Barring a true breakthrough in something like quantum computing or room-temperature superconductors.)

    1. arijun · · focus · HN ↗
      It might never beat out grep, but it could beat some more expensive to call tools, similar to how heuristics will often be faster than exact answers. Rust Analyzer can be slow at times, I could see an AI tool taking over a subset of its work.
      1. nextaccountic · · focus · HN ↗
        It's probably better to optimize rust-analyzer first (and now, this became easier). I mean, see rust-glance: it's not feature complete but it points out to different tradeoffs in this space
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