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Tokens too cheap to meter

354 points · 227 comments · teoruiz

  1. automatic6131 · · focus · HN ↗
    >We are likely to see LLMs running locally at current frontier-quality on commodity hardware in the next 3-6 years

    Yeah okay bud, anyone checked in with the state of consumer hardware recently? Not the author, evidently.

    >oh in 3-6 years this will all be over

    Yeah I'm sure Samsung, Nvidia and sk hynix will all be very calm with lower volumes and lower margins.

    1. samuelknight · · focus · HN ↗
      The article observes that the cost of frontier intelligence from 2025 has fallen 100x in the last year. It also notes that the energy to run models is also collapsing. Consumer hardware is borked right now because these new algorithms are revolutionizing the utility of a computer. Computing is technology who's cost has been collapsing for 90 years, and its a safe prediction that it will decrease again.
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