Improvement can still be happening, and it can be happening slower than it was a year ago. Both can be true.
And the observation that it's happening slower than it was means, not that it's stalled, but at least that it's not exponential anymore. The exponential phase is already over. That has implications for where we think the plateau is likely to be.
someguynamedq · · focus · HN ↗
We're a few years into a new technology that is still improving. This is a point-in-time critique.
lolakutty · · focus · HN ↗
Mostly stalled now...
Jtarii · · focus · HN ↗
If the models are as capable in a years time as they are today you could say they have stalled.
AnimalMuppet · · focus · HN ↗
And the observation that it's happening slower than it was means, not that it's stalled, but at least that it's not exponential anymore. The exponential phase is already over. That has implications for where we think the plateau is likely to be.