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No Easy Fix for Bogus Respondents in Online Opt-In Polls

61 points · 37 comments · luu

  1. noduerme · · focus · HN ↗
    The bit about 10% of respondents claiming they had visited the International Space Station was funny. Reminded me of this nugget[0], which for people unfamiliar with the subject doesn't mean that 20% of Jews believe in Jesus... it means that 20% of the respondents to the poll were either deranged or confused, and self-identity as Jewish for no clear reason. It's analogous to "1 in 5 vegans say they eat meat."

    <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.timesofisrael.com&#x2F;jews-for-jesus-poll-15-of-jewish-millennials-believe-christ-was-god&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.timesofisrael.com&#x2F;jews-for-jesus-poll-15-of-jewi...

    1. JimDabell · · focus · HN ↗
      See also: Lizardman&#x27;s Constant is 4%.

      <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;slatestarcodex.com&#x2F;2013&#x2F;04&#x2F;12&#x2F;noisy-poll-results-and-reptilian-muslim-climatologists-from-mars&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;slatestarcodex.com&#x2F;2013&#x2F;04&#x2F;12&#x2F;noisy-poll-results-and...

      1. sdcfgy · · focus · HN ↗
        Having dealt with this before we always put trap questions in polls. Filtered 3-7% of respondents.
        1. lotus_uk · · focus · HN ↗

          [dead]

    2. antonvs · · focus · HN ↗
      Something like 290 people have visited the ISS. If they all answered the survey and if the survey size was around 2900, then the 10% figure would be correct.
    3. Maxamillion96 · · focus · HN ↗
      Could be a combination of messianic Jews and some Jewish people assuming that the question is about the historical yeshua
      1. noduerme · · focus · HN ↗
        Righht, which is about as accurate as checking the box that you&#x27;re Native American because your grandpa said you might be 1&#x2F;16th Cherokee.

        Assuming an identity doesn&#x27;t make it your culture, right? It says more about the person who assumes it. Messianic Jews are a form of bonkers identitarians who existed even before the current fad.

        No, there&#x27;s no quotient of Jewish people who would take the question of belief in Christ to mean &quot;do you believe Jesus was an historical person who walked around Samaria in sandals&quot;. Pretty much all Jews agree that Jesus was a real renegade rabbi who wore shoddy footwear. The definition of being Jewish is that you don&#x27;t believe he was the Messiah, because the Messiah hasn&#x27;t arrived yet. Anyone who clicks the buttons that they&#x27;re Jewish and that they believe in the divinity of Jesus is clearly a throwaway on the survey.

        1. triceratops · · focus · HN ↗
          &gt; real renegade rabbi who wore shoddy footwear

          Movies and TV tell me everyone in Judea and Samaria wore sandals back then. Why single out one guy? Or was Jesus&#x27;s pair particularly scuffed, ratty, and worn-out?

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