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Wall Street is growing skeptical of the data center boom

72 points · 87 comments · mikhael

  1. bryanlarsen · · focus · HN ↗
    Any data center that can remain profitable selling open source tokens at commodity prices will be fine. Any data center that relies on OpenAI/Anthropic level token prices and margins might be in trouble. After clearing their debts through bankruptcy, they'd likely be quite profitable selling open source tokens at commodity prices.
    1. alfalfasprout · · focus · HN ↗
      assuming demand remains elevated and growing, maybe. But spend on AI is pretty stratospheric right now... companies are already starting to clamp down on spend. This makes you really wonder if there will be sufficient demand at current commodity prices for eg; OSS models to justify all these data centers.
      1. bryanlarsen · · focus · HN ↗
        Yes, I believe so. Using a sibling commenter's number of frontier models being 80X the price of commodity models, I think companies who switch will spend a minority of their savings to increase their token usage and only pocket the majority of the savings.
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