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Fable 5 – Median thinking declined in August

428 points · 293 comments · espeed

  1. talon8635 · · focus · HN ↗
    Could there be a benefit to releasing a new model, slowly dumbing it down over a couple months, then releasing a new model that’s marginally if at all better than the original to create a perceived improvement when in reality there isn’t really one?

    For an industry that’s stagnant in progress yet relies on new frequent releases to survive (non-progress being an existential risk), this could make sense.

    I have no idea if that’s what’s happened, I completely pulled it out of my butt. And I have no idea is the actual frontier is stagnating.

    1. AmazingTurtle · · focus · HN ↗
      > Could there be a benefit to releasing a new model, slowly dumbing it down over a couple months, then releasing a new model that’s marginally if at all better than the original to create a perceived improvement when in reality there isn’t really one?

      Exactly what I am saying for months now. And it's exactly the reason why I am shifting to open weight models now. Just bought myself a 2x DGX Spark Cluster. Will run Qwen3.8 Flash Next on it, maybe Qwen4 when it comes out.

      Not only do I have full control over quantization and inference, but also will I experience a constant level of quality. It won't be frontier. But it will be stable, and that's enough reason for me to switch. Also I will likely save some money on subscriptions.

      1. boardwaalk · · focus · HN ↗
        I don’t know what people do with the open models but having tried a lot of them I just can’t make it make sense. they’re too dumb and it effectively makes them useless (to me). it’s probably worth being honest about the low ceiling here.
        1. poslathian · · focus · HN ↗
          Really!? Glm5.3 is my daily driver and I feel im having the most productive experience with agentic collaborations so far, by a lot. Using pi with tons of custom extensions, that to be fair I developed since making the jump off of codex and claude about 12 weeks ago. I primarily do not write code for a living. I do a lot of modeling and commercial analysis and a lot of math (related to differentiable simulation)
          1. Insanity · · focus · HN ↗
            What HW are you running this on?
            1. bigyabai · · focus · HN ↗
              Full GLM-5.3 needs a beast of a system, but you can run GLM-5.3 Flash on the 2x Spark setup the GP comment mentioned. If benchmarks are anything to go by, Flash is like having a local Terra-tier coding model: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;artificialanalysis.ai&#x2F;models&#x2F;comparisons?compare=glm-5-3-flash%2Cglm-5-3%2Cclaude-sonnet-5" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;artificialanalysis.ai&#x2F;models&#x2F;comparisons?compare=glm...
              1. solarkraft · · focus · HN ↗
                I’m also pretty happy with GLM 5.3 Flash (for coding, navigation and german language it sucks at). Incredible that you can run it on a fairly practical (seeming) home setup.

                But here’s the standard question: At what speeds&#x2F;other limiting factors?

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