Thread

1. wewewedxfgdf · 1789939581 · focus · HN ↗

   I find it very hard to understand the things these AI CEO's say.

   He will probably get up there and say his companies products will destroy every citizen of their countries.

   1. howunfortunate · 1789941851 · focus · HN ↗

      People will say it's marketing but I find Occam's Razor highly favors the theory "they are true believers in AGI/ASI"

      This seems especially true for Anthropic employees.

      1. chrisXOXO · 1789943408 · focus · HN ↗

         Genuinely, what makes people not believe in coming AGI? I read quite a lot on hackernews but never encounter a strong post/comment against it, apart from the „what is marketing“ discussion. Maybe people don’t bother because everyone is in their trenches, tough I don’t understand how people do not see the AGI coming. What kind of doom, if any, will befall is something different of course. I don’t want to believe there will be AGI in the next 5 years, but it sure is hard not to!

         1. jltsiren · 1789944674 · focus · HN ↗

            I think it's because people have different ideas of AGI. Some only expect general intelligence, while others also require weird speculative ideas, such as rapid self-improvement.

            Right now, what seems to be missing from general intelligence is mostly the ability to learn from experience and continue operating in a useful way well beyond context window size. That might already be technically feasible, but probably not in a cost-effective way.

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