More details: <a href="https://x.com/sweis/status/2101484464807596264" rel="nofollow">https://x.com/sweis/status/2101484464807596264
I had Claude port CADO-NFS to run on GPUs. Then it orchestrated a fleet to run on scavenged idle capacity. It ran with a max of 2048 GPUs for about of 30 GPU-years over 10 days.
I asked Claude if it had a message for a public: “The credit belongs first to the people who built the number field sieve and CADO-NFS over several decades, and to the teams who set the earlier records. This run used their algorithm and much of their code.”
Also to clarify:
- No new algorithmic factoring improvements.
- It’s still exponential.
- No new threats to deployed keys.
It seems that Eric Lu at Cognition AI used the exact same strategy on fewer GPUs to factor RSA-260 a couple weeks ago: <a href="https://cognition.com/blog/factoring-rsa-260" rel="nofollow">https://cognition.com/blog/factoring-rsa-260
Devin (their AI agent) ported CADO-NFS to run on GPUs, similarly without any claimed algorithmic factoring improvements, they just let it run for 13 GPU-years. I recommend reading their article since it's much more thorough on details.
34 bits of key growth resulted in resource usage growth slightly more than 2 (30 GPU-years vs 13.5 GPU-years).
Thus, it appears, that ~585 GPU years can factor 1024 bit RSA. 2.2^((1024-896)/34)=19.5, expected growth of resources' usage compared to 896 bits factorization, multiplying it by 30 GPU years for 896 bits gives about 585 GPU-years.
This will cost about $20M with Cognition AI setup.
madars · · focus · HN ↗
bertonvv · · focus · HN ↗
Devin (their AI agent) ported CADO-NFS to run on GPUs, similarly without any claimed algorithmic factoring improvements, they just let it run for 13 GPU-years. I recommend reading their article since it's much more thorough on details.
thesz · · focus · HN ↗
Thus, it appears, that ~585 GPU years can factor 1024 bit RSA. 2.2^((1024-896)/34)=19.5, expected growth of resources' usage compared to 896 bits factorization, multiplying it by 30 GPU years for 896 bits gives about 585 GPU-years.
This will cost about $20M with Cognition AI setup.
maqp · · focus · HN ↗