I doub't it. The main issue is not cost, though they do get expensive as context grows, but intelligence. A frontier model like fable becomes as dumb as haiku after 200k tokens. They have been stuck at ~1M context/200k useful context for 18 months, now, with little sign of advancement. A model with a 10M context window that retains it's intelligence up to 2M tokens would be a big breakthrough.
Or better context curation - less lossy compression saving back to context. Maybe even jettisoning part context into an external semantic store instead of conpression. Or placing less data into context to start with.
znpy · · focus · HN ↗
We know that the us government usually has private/custom versions of technology available to the general public, but much better.
irthomasthomas · · focus · HN ↗
znpy · · focus · HN ↗
so the true next frontier might not be just raw intelligence but rather larger context window?
[deleted] · · focus · HN ↗
[deleted]
DenisM · · focus · HN ↗
Or a combination of all those things.
gyyyu · · focus · HN ↗
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