The framing of how we think about AI has really been cultivated by a quite homogeneous group of people. These people, like all people that belong to a sub-culture, are almost certainly prone to groupthink.
It's extremely important to see that group as such. That it is not thousands of individual perspectives but a chorus of connected/aligned people who have all read the same things and talked to the same people and are rewarded implicitly for thinking a similar way.
Many of them read HN and are offended I put them this way. But it's inescapable that we as humans have this flaw when we're surrounded by a culture.
There's another universe where we do not constantly compare AI to nukes. I bet that world has a lower P(doom).
Most people at least in the US who have any opinion on AI have a negative opinion. The one big exception to that is Silicon Valley and forums like HN.
But according to you, the negative opinion is the result "not thousands of individual perspectives but a chorus of connected/aligned people who have all read the same things and talked to the same people and are rewarded implicitly for thinking a similar way" whereas the 1% or 2% of the US population that comprises Silicon Valley are not being rewarding for believing anything particular about AI, don't communicate with each other and form their beliefs about AI through a wholesome natural organic process. Do I have that right?
throwaway13337 · · focus · HN ↗
It's extremely important to see that group as such. That it is not thousands of individual perspectives but a chorus of connected/aligned people who have all read the same things and talked to the same people and are rewarded implicitly for thinking a similar way.
Many of them read HN and are offended I put them this way. But it's inescapable that we as humans have this flaw when we're surrounded by a culture.
There's another universe where we do not constantly compare AI to nukes. I bet that world has a lower P(doom).
hollerith · · focus · HN ↗
But according to you, the negative opinion is the result "not thousands of individual perspectives but a chorus of connected/aligned people who have all read the same things and talked to the same people and are rewarded implicitly for thinking a similar way" whereas the 1% or 2% of the US population that comprises Silicon Valley are not being rewarding for believing anything particular about AI, don't communicate with each other and form their beliefs about AI through a wholesome natural organic process. Do I have that right?