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Artificial intelligence now beats some of the best human forecasters

129 points · 106 comments · ddp26

  1. glimshe · · focus · HN ↗
    Product idea: a LLM trained separately from mainline LLMs that anticipate market trends by analyzing how mainline LLMs will invest. As retail investors will probably use mainline AI for decisions going forward , one could get an edge.

    "The AI-driven Market Hypothesis"

    Please let me know where I should pick up my Nobel prize.

    1. rlt · · focus · HN ↗
      So... an even more intelligent LLM.

      But it does beg the question, could Anthropic and OpenAI make a ton of money by using their best models to trade before giving them to the public? It would probably be a deeply unpopular move.

      1. bigfishrunning · · focus · HN ↗
        I don't think popularity is a goal for Anthropic or OpenAI. They merely want to have a product that they control and you depend on, and don't care about anything else.

        Nobody really *likes* their drug dealer.

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