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Artificial intelligence now beats some of the best human forecasters

129 points · 106 comments · ddp26

  1. jesse_dot_id · · focus · HN ↗
    It will be interesting to see if this changes because presumably AI is using very predictable historical models, but it seems like the climate is shifting into something unseen that we won't have models for?
    1. ddp26 · · focus · HN ↗
      Yes, I heard from one first-rate forecaster that he thinks AI forecasters are especially weak in predicting big disruptive changes to the world.

      Hard to study this, obviously!

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