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Artificial intelligence now beats some of the best human forecasters

129 points · 106 comments · ddp26

  1. bagels · · focus · HN ↗
    Aren't forecasters already using 'artificial intelligence' for decades in the form of non-llm machine learning models?
    1. datsci_est_2015 · · focus · HN ↗
      You don’t even have to limit it to machine learning, the definition of forecasting is isomorphic to the definition of modeling, which, with the dilution of the term AI, is also isomorphic to the definition of AI.

      More simply:

        - forecasting = modeling = AI
      
      Edit: I’d even throw statistics into that extended equality, meaning that Bayes, Bernoulli and even the fellow named John Gaunt have a strong case for having invented AI.
      1. doctoboggan · · focus · HN ↗
        > forecasting = modeling = AI

        I wouldn't go that far. Humans can forecast by modeling with their wetware, nothing "A" about it.

        1. aeon_ai · · focus · HN ↗
          forecasting = modeling = intelligence, you mean?
          1. fnordpiglet · · focus · HN ↗
            Forecasting = modeling + intelligence
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