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Artificial intelligence now beats some of the best human forecasters

129 points · 106 comments · ddp26

  1. glimshe · · focus · HN ↗
    Product idea: a LLM trained separately from mainline LLMs that anticipate market trends by analyzing how mainline LLMs will invest. As retail investors will probably use mainline AI for decisions going forward , one could get an edge.

    "The AI-driven Market Hypothesis"

    Please let me know where I should pick up my Nobel prize.

    1. ddp26 · · focus · HN ↗
      I know this is tongue-in-cheek, but I think your idea could actually work, but not in financial markets. (The "keynesian beauty contest" of trying to predict what others think been played out to death there.)

      You could train a model to anticipating scientific trends. Or policy trends. Others will definitely use mainline LLMs to make decisions there, so they may be more predictable now!

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