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Artificial intelligence now beats some of the best human forecasters

129 points · 106 comments · ddp26

  1. 296012 · · focus · HN ↗
    That is too bad for The Economist. Exor N.V and Agnelli might replace some pundits at The Economist.
    1. ddp26 · · focus · HN ↗
      The Economist has actually published other human forecasts many times, e.g. Metaculus or Good Judgment forecasts. They do year-end forecasts too.

      Whether they draw on AI or other humans seems immaterial to the quality of their reporting.

    2. hank1931 · · focus · HN ↗
      AI won't replace Ann Wroe at The Economist. It is difficult to appreciate until you've read a few, but Ann Wroe's approach transformed The Economist's obituary section into one of the most widely read features in international journalism.
    3. dgellow · · focus · HN ↗
      Cramer is infamous for being a terrible forecaster, and still has a large audience. Which tells you there is more at play than being good at forecasting, you also have to sell a good story
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