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Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields

184 points · 250 comments · wslh

  1. dabinat · · focus · HN ↗
    Prediction: this causes a recession in two years, right after a Democrat wins the White House, who will be blamed for it. The economy will turn around after a few years, just in time for a Republican to win and claim they fixed it.

    This is how Republicans have a reputation for being economically savvy despite actual evidence to the contrary, because the general population doesn’t understand that economics runs on a time delay.

    1. jameslk · · focus · HN ↗
      Both parties are responsible for the inflation and debt. Fiscal policy is largely driven by congress, not the president
      1. matteoraso · · focus · HN ↗
        And which party controls congress? I'll give you a hint: It's the party that spent decades advocating for irresponsible tax cuts without cutting spending[0].

        [0] Yes, I know that the Republicans said that they were going to cut spending to match the tax cuts, but that never ends up happening.

        1. jameslk · · focus · HN ↗
          The high inflation since Covid and $40 trillion in debt didn’t happen under one party
          1. throw0101a · · focus · HN ↗
            > The high inflation since Covid and $40 trillion in debt didn’t happen under one party

            Between his first term and his second term to date (2+ more years to go), Trump is responsible for more that one quarter (29%) of US debt (USD 11.6T / 40T):

            * <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;time.com&#x2F;article&#x2F;2026&#x2F;08&#x2F;21&#x2F;national-debt-trump-biden&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;time.com&#x2F;article&#x2F;2026&#x2F;08&#x2F;21&#x2F;national-debt-trump-bide...

            There was a bit of a mitigating circumstance of COVID (for Trump and Biden), which caused the debt to jump for many countries as well (and not just the US), but it&#x27;s not like Trump et co are helping the math along with all the tax cuts and asking for a US$ &gt;1T military budget.

            But I would say a large reason why the US is in the fiscal position it is now in is because of Trump and a GOP Congress. (See also tax cuts under Bush 43 and Reagan; Bush 41 raised them a bit.)

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