They are simply looking to steer AI policy discussions. It's basically an in-house think tank. It has all the trappings, especially with ominous prognostications like:
Today’s AI systems have impressive capabilities and the rapid pace of innovation suggests we’re now approaching artificial general intelligence (AGI), a system that exhibits all the cognitive capabilities of the human brain.
Not sure we are anywhere close to all the cognitive capabilities of the human brain... not even a severely lobotomized one.
* Forming a long lasting memory from a single encounter
* Speed of adaptation to new environments
* Deft manual dexterity, like playing the violin and needlework
* Competing in a triathlon (requires running, biking, and swimming)
* Having a single agent that can do ALL of those things and more
Humans understand and perform tasks in many more than just the few modalities current model providers have focused on. I'm not discounting the utility of current models in the limited domains they operate in, but they are no where close to being generalists like a human or other animals.
75 years and counting and considering we don't have any plan to get to a single one of those things, I'm going to say 75 years. Computation alone is at least 30 years. You may not appreciate the complexity of biological systems, but single cell organisms have more capability to adapt than LLMs.
We have been able to stage reckless experiments with janky tools the entire time. Used to be it got you thrown in jail or at least a visit by the FBI. Says more about the tech bro dipshits than the tech, if you ask me.
nsagent · · focus · HN ↗
Eueudhsbsj32 · · focus · HN ↗
In which capabilities are AI not already close to or beyond that of a human brain?
nsagent · · focus · HN ↗
* Forming a long lasting memory from a single encounter
* Speed of adaptation to new environments
* Deft manual dexterity, like playing the violin and needlework
* Competing in a triathlon (requires running, biking, and swimming)
* Having a single agent that can do ALL of those things and more
Humans understand and perform tasks in many more than just the few modalities current model providers have focused on. I'm not discounting the utility of current models in the limited domains they operate in, but they are no where close to being generalists like a human or other animals.
againstapples · · focus · HN ↗
daveguy · · focus · HN ↗
partyficial · · focus · HN ↗
seems like a very short timeline to me.
daveguy · · focus · HN ↗