‹ BackHN Continuity

Thread

How much oil-market buffer is left?

116 points · 180 comments · mcone

  1. bix6 · · focus · HN ↗
    Can anyone speak to the long term impacts of this? Like is gas going to remain high for years (or even worse get rationed) and I should trade in for an EV now?
    1. Fordec · · focus · HN ↗
      The main point of news I heard was that the Iran infrastructure the US destroyed, in a time where they are allowed to repair it and not just get bombed again, will take three years to repair. Oil prices don't get "cheap" again this side of 2030. Not to mention that there is a bunch of Russian infrastructure that is still on the chopping block to be destroyed by Ukraine as that war continues. Which has the same time it takes to rebuild issues.
      1. XorNot · · focus · HN ↗
        Russian infrastructure isn't affecting oil prices.

        The Russians are losing refineries, not oil fields.

        The Russian crude trade to countries like India pushes the price down globally, but limits Russian access to refined fuels and products.

        It also limits their ability to fund the war.

        1. citrin_ru · · focus · HN ↗
          It does. Oil export is down after repeated attacks on ports and export infrastructure both on Black and Baltic sea and attacks on tankers in Black (and even Mediterranean) sea. Russia exports less oil than it extracts and will start shutting down oil wells soon (may be doing this already).

          Attacks on refineries also have impact on worlds petrol/diesel prices - one of biggest exporters turned into an importer at a time when there is world shortage of refining capacity and cracks spread is at or near all time high.

          > It also limits their ability to fund the war.

          It does but it also makes petrol and diesel more expensive around the world.

Open on Hacker News to reply ↗

Unofficial Hacker News client; not affiliated with Y Combinator.