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Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes

496 points · 653 comments · jaykru

  1. carodgers · · focus · HN ↗
    This April 2026 paper is a fun and related read.

    <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;arxiv.org&#x2F;html&#x2F;2509.24239v4" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;arxiv.org&#x2F;html&#x2F;2509.24239v4

    Researchers asked frontier models to play chess. Have a look at the MAR rates in Table 3. When not explicitly told which moves were legal, no model identified legal moves at a rate better than 80%. Many asked for more illegal moves than legal moves. And even when explicitly told which moves were legal, the models continued to ask for illegal moves. With illegal asks discarded, none of the bots could beat a chess model calibrated to 1100 ELO.

    The author of the originating post says that &quot;current frontier models need laborious oversight and guardrails on even the simplest tasks&quot;, and he&#x27;s absolutely correct.

    1. killerstorm · · focus · HN ↗
      This is an absolute nonsense. Any frontier model can implement chess program from scratch - modeling the board, checking legality, etc. If you asked e.g. GPT-6 to get good at chess and gave it a computer, it will get good at chess. That&#x27;s an actual strategic skill.

      Asking GPT to play chess directly using its reasoning only tests its reasoning ability to model chess state. Which it really is NOT optimized for.

      This is also true for humans - people who don&#x27;t have years of chess training can&#x27;t really tell which moves are legal given an algebraic notation transcript. These people might have good strategic skills in different areas. Chess is just a very, very specific skill

      1. roenxi · · focus · HN ↗
        It&#x27;s an interesting puzzle, isn&#x27;t it. On the one hand, the AIs are no good at playing Chess.

        However, on the other hand, if you ask an AI to win a game of chess it has all the tools on hand to compete at the same level as Stockfish - it can re-implement an engine and even probably has a GPU on hand to train its own neural nets.

        So should we say that the AI can play chess well, or that it cannot?

        1. kbau · · focus · HN ↗
          I can compile stockfish from source and use it to beat other kids in my class in chess. Behold, I am a chess genius.
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