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Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes

496 points · 653 comments · jaykru

  1. againstapples · · focus · HN ↗
    > the models generalize well only on tasks within a small neighborhood of the specific tasks they've been trained on, and even then with severe caveats. the frontier labs have developed a general recipe to teach models almost any specific task enjoying clearly defined levels of task performance; many tasks are covered in the training data

    Is this really any different to how humans learn, it takes a lot of training on one specific task to make a human expert as well?

    1. JohnMakin · · focus · HN ↗
      > Is this really any different to how humans learn

      yes.

      1. knuppar · · focus · HN ↗
        being a bit more specific: the sample efficiency of humans is orders of magnitude larger for more abstract concepts. the same doesn't hold for memory-intensive tasks though (like any kind of trivia), but that only takes you so far.
        1. danpalmer · · focus · HN ↗
          We've had technology beating humans on memory for millennia, and we've had technology beating humans on computation for many decades now.

          The tricky thing with LLMs is describing what they actually do. They are too clearly beating humans on some things, but what exactly? Memory – already done, they're bad at basic computation (all LLMs just write code for actual computation/calculation). And as you say, they do badly at more abstract concepts.

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