History

Artificial intelligence now beats some of the best human forecasters

Open thread

First rank

8

Best rank

2

Last rank

30

Observations

38

First seen

1789660588

Last seen

1789676342

Missing captures

0

Milestones

2

Top is rank 1. Gaps between captures are not reconstructed.

1. Rank 30

   99 points · 87 comments · observed 1789676342

2. Rank 28

   99 points · 85 comments · observed 1789675917

3. Rank 28

   99 points · 84 comments · observed 1789675498

4. Rank 28

   99 points · 82 comments · observed 1789675078

5. Rank 29

   98 points · 82 comments · observed 1789674650

6. Rank 29

   97 points · 82 comments · observed 1789674226

7. Rank 28

   96 points · 82 comments · observed 1789673810

8. Rank 27

   93 points · 81 comments · observed 1789673389

9. Rank 28

   92 points · 78 comments · observed 1789672954

10. Rank 27

    91 points · 76 comments · observed 1789672533

11. Rank 25

    90 points · 75 comments · observed 1789672099

12. Rank 27

    87 points · 74 comments · observed 1789671670

13. Rank 29

    86 points · 74 comments · observed 1789671240

14. Rank 28

    86 points · 73 comments · observed 1789670817

15. Rank 26

    86 points · 73 comments · observed 1789670392

16. Rank 25

    86 points · 70 comments · observed 1789669969

17. Rank 24

    83 points · 69 comments · observed 1789669547

18. Rank 24

    82 points · 68 comments · observed 1789669133

19. Rank 24

    82 points · 67 comments · observed 1789668708

20. Rank 23

    78 points · 67 comments · observed 1789668285

21. Rank 20

    75 points · 64 comments · observed 1789667861

22. Rank 21

    73 points · 64 comments · observed 1789667436

23. Rank 21

    71 points · 59 comments · observed 1789667001

24. Rank 20

    69 points · 55 comments · observed 1789666576

25. Rank 21

    66 points · 52 comments · observed 1789666138

26. Rank 20

    61 points · 47 comments · observed 1789665704

27. Rank 2

    59 points · 45 comments · observed 1789665289

28. Rank 4

    52 points · 42 comments · observed 1789664873

29. Rank 2

    47 points · 35 comments · observed 1789664459

30. Rank 2

    45 points · 31 comments · observed 1789664023

31. Rank 3

    40 points · 25 comments · observed 1789663598

32. Rank 3

    33 points · 21 comments · observed 1789663174

33. Rank 3

    28 points · 16 comments · observed 1789662749

34. Rank 3

    28 points · 13 comments · observed 1789662327

35. Rank 3

    23 points · 10 comments · observed 1789661904

36. Rank 5

    17 points · 8 comments · observed 1789661470

37. Rank 5

    12 points · 3 comments · observed 1789661026

38. Rank 8

    5 points · 0 comments · observed 1789660588

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